Black Philadelphia voters - HIT Strategies: Trump wins 11% of Black men, 3% of Black women

[Gass3268]

So put together Trump probably gets like 5% or less, given black women vote at higher rates.

[Gass3268]

this is only like 7% to 8% or so

Less then that considering black women out vote Black men heavily and the black electorate skews older then the white electorate (see Biden’s complete dominance over Bernie).

But that’s still an improvement from 2016. Trump got 1-2% in black urban districts this time I expect 3-4%.

% improvement, but I expect black turnout to be better in general then 2016.

[Gass3268]

Don't Republicans always poll significantly better with black men than black women? The gender gap seems to span all demographics.

That is correct.

Same thing typically happens with Hispanics, but not to the same extent.