Black Philadelphia voters - HIT Strategies: Trump wins 11% of Black men, 3% of Black women (user search)
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  Black Philadelphia voters - HIT Strategies: Trump wins 11% of Black men, 3% of Black women (search mode)
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Author Topic: Black Philadelphia voters - HIT Strategies: Trump wins 11% of Black men, 3% of Black women  (Read 1340 times)
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,507
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

« on: October 23, 2020, 05:40:25 PM »

That's interesting. I expect his gains with black voters to be disproportionately Southern and rural but this would probably be a slight gain. There are a number of black Philadelphia precincts where Romney got zero votes.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,507
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2020, 06:26:50 PM »

That's interesting. I expect his gains with black voters to be disproportionately Southern and rural but this would probably be a slight gain. There are a number of black Philadelphia precincts where Romney got zero votes.
Trump in 2016 got 13% of Black male vote nationally and 4% of the Black female vote nationally.

I don't know how the vote broke down in Philadelphia in 2016.

I'm presuming it was significantly lower than the national averages based on what I know about Philadelphia.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,507
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2020, 08:09:12 PM »

That's interesting. I expect his gains with black voters to be disproportionately Southern and rural but this would probably be a slight gain. There are a number of black Philadelphia precincts where Romney got zero votes.
Trump in 2016 got 13% of Black male vote nationally and 4% of the Black female vote nationally.

I don't know how the vote broke down in Philadelphia in 2016.

I'm presuming it was significantly lower than the national averages based on what I know about Philadelphia.

Likely so. But I'm expecting Trump to do worse among suburban black men this time (think Michael Steele) and better among urban and rural black men.

Michael Steele is a very specific person with very specific political interests. You shouldn't base your take on any group of people on his political behavior; he isn't acting that way because he's in that group (unless that group is TV pundits).
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