GA-Landmark: Trump +4
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Author Topic: GA-Landmark: Trump +4  (Read 3109 times)
VAR
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« on: October 23, 2020, 02:50:00 PM »
Trump 49%
Biden 45%

https://www.wsbtv.com/news/local/atlanta/president-trump-widens-lead-over-joe-biden-latest-exclusive-channel-2-poll/7R643PFTRVDFHGNWHJFBVHKUCY/
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2020, 02:51:47 PM »
3 point shift from last poll
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redjohn
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2020, 02:51:57 PM »
Meh, not a great poll for Biden here.
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Ljube
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2020, 02:52:30 PM »
This is looking more and more like 2016.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2020, 02:53:41 PM »
Amy Walter will conveniently ignore all other GA polls showing Biden ahead and use this to tell us it’s not there yet in her final analysis
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2020, 02:54:30 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 23, 2020, 02:52:30 PM
This is looking more and more like 2016.

You literally say this once a week when a single good poll for Trump is released.
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Ljube
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2020, 02:55:06 PM »
Landmark Communications is the best pollster in Georgia.
The race is fluid and this is the most recent poll.

The momentum toward Trump is obvious.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2020, 02:55:24 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 23, 2020, 02:52:30 PM
This is looking more and more like 2016.

You're right it kind of is. We're seeing a last minute shift towards Biden in GA polling.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2020, 02:55:46 PM »
Not ideal.
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Buzz
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2020, 02:56:09 PM »
I’ll probably finally move GA from Tossup —> Lean R with this.  I’m skeptical though because the suburbs really are moving away from Trump.  
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soundchaser
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2020, 02:57:24 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 23, 2020, 02:56:09 PM
I’ll probably finally move GA from Tossup —> Lean R with this.  I’m skeptical though because the suburbs really are moving away from Trump.  

And you're right to be skeptical. We had another poll come out just today (and an R internal at that) with Biden up several points. I think it's as pure a tossup as it gets right now.
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Ljube
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2020, 02:57:59 PM »
Quote from: soundchaser on October 23, 2020, 02:57:24 PM
Quote from: Buzz on October 23, 2020, 02:56:09 PM
I’ll probably finally move GA from Tossup —> Lean R with this.  I’m skeptical though because the suburbs really are moving away from Trump.  

And you're right to be skeptical. We had another poll come out just today (and an R internal at that) with Biden up several points. I think it's as pure a tossup as it gets right now.

That other poll is old.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2020, 02:58:21 PM »
Love how this poll cancels out all of the other great polls Biden had in GA this week
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2020, 02:58:51 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 23, 2020, 02:55:06 PM
Landmark Communications is the best pollster in Georgia.
The race is fluid and this is the most recent poll.

The momentum toward Trump is obvious.


Georgia just flipped to blue on the 538 map 15 minutes ago, so that's some extremely short-term momentum you must be seeing.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2020, 02:59:09 PM »
good poll for Trump
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Hammy
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2020, 02:59:53 PM »
Landmark was the most accurate in 2016/18. Georgia flipping was always a pipe dream.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #16 on: October 23, 2020, 03:00:27 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 23, 2020, 02:52:30 PM
This is looking more and more like 2016.

Except this is GEORGIA. Biden doesn't need to win GEORGIA. When you, as a Republican Trump supporter, are getting relieved because you might win GEORGIA, you should be very worried.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #17 on: October 23, 2020, 03:01:13 PM »
Quote from: Hammy on October 23, 2020, 02:59:53 PM
Landmark was the most accurate in 2016/18. Georgia flipping was always a pipe dream.

You flip from doomer to non-doomer and back again so fast and so often it's giving me whiplash.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: October 23, 2020, 03:01:54 PM »
GA is NOT voting way to the right of NC, so either this is an outlier or NC polls are overstating Democratic strength.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #19 on: October 23, 2020, 03:02:24 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on October 23, 2020, 03:00:27 PM
Quote from: Ljube on October 23, 2020, 02:52:30 PM
This is looking more and more like 2016.

Except this is GEORGIA. Biden doesn't need to win GEORGIA. When you, as a Republican Trump supporter, are getting relieved because you might win GEORGIA, you should be very worried.
Still a bad poll for Biden though.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: October 23, 2020, 03:02:46 PM »
Every poll in Georgia has shown movement toward Biden in recent days, except this one. This feels like an outlier.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #21 on: October 23, 2020, 03:03:00 PM »
Quote from: Beida on October 23, 2020, 02:51:57 PM
Meh, not a great poll for Biden here.
Time to change your sheets.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #22 on: October 23, 2020, 03:03:36 PM »
Objectively a bad poll for Biden, but the other polls here are much better for him
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #23 on: October 23, 2020, 03:05:48 PM »
We just had a Biden+4 in Georgia with a Republican internal. Can we stop the bedwetting?
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Hammy
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« Reply #24 on: October 23, 2020, 03:05:59 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on October 23, 2020, 03:01:13 PM
Quote from: Hammy on October 23, 2020, 02:59:53 PM
Landmark was the most accurate in 2016/18. Georgia flipping was always a pipe dream.

You flip from doomer to non-doomer and back again so fast and so often it's giving me whiplash.

Not dooming--I've never expected Biden to win GA/NC/TX and there are statistical reasons backing that, and polling discussion is sport for me.
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