CNBC/Change Research: Biden +10 Nationally; Biden Ahead in Several Battlegrounds
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Author Topic: CNBC/Change Research: Biden +10 Nationally; Biden Ahead in Several Battlegrounds  (Read 1595 times)
forza nocta
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« on: November 02, 2020, 07:48:55 PM »
« edited: November 02, 2020, 07:52:33 PM by forza nocta »
NATIONAL

Biden 52%
Trump 42%

ARIZONA

Biden 50%
Trump 47%

FLORIDA

Biden 51%
Trump 48%

MICHIGAN

Biden 51%
Trump 44%

NORTH CAROLINA

Biden 49%
Trump 47%

PENNSYLVANIA

Biden 50%
Trump 46%

WISCONSIN

Biden 53%
Trump 45%
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cg41386
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 07:49:29 PM »
Arf arf
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 07:50:33 PM »
WI: Biden +8
PA: Biden +4
NC: Biden +2
MI: Biden +7
FL: Biden +3
AZ: Biden +3
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Person Man
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 07:50:38 PM »
Moo
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 07:51:36 PM »
Hasn't this been one of Trump's better pollsters all year?
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 07:52:18 PM »
And NC continues to terrify...
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VAR
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 07:52:27 PM »
AZ does seem to have tightened a bit, which is surprising. Trump’s not winning it, though.
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 07:53:29 PM »
Good numbers for Biden, although LimoLiberal would not agree. His pants are probably already wet
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 07:54:56 PM »
Would be very interesting to see Wisconsin vote to the left of Pennsylvania.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 07:55:05 PM »
Oct 29-Nov 1
Likely voters
Changes with Oct 16-19 for all swing states

Quote from: forza nocta on November 02, 2020, 07:48:55 PM
National
1880 likely voters
MoE: 2.26%
Changes with Oct 17-18

Biden 52% (n/c)
Trump 42% (n/c)

AZ
Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 47% (+2)
Other 2%
Not sure 1%

FL
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 48% (+3)
Other 1%
Not sure 1%

MI
Biden 51% (n/c)
Trump 44% (n/c)
Other 4%
Not sure 1%

NC
Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 47% (n/c)
Other 3%
Not sure 1%

PA
Biden 50% (+1)
Trump 46% (-1)
Other 2%
Not sure 2%

WI
Biden 53% (+1)
Trump 45% (+1)
Other 2%
Not sure 0%
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Da2017
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 07:55:15 PM »
Quote from: Scott🍁 on November 02, 2020, 07:54:56 PM
Would be very interesting to see Wisconsin vote to the left of Pennsylvania.

It did in 08 and 12.
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bandg
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 07:55:33 PM »
So they have the tipping point state 6 points to the right of the nation. That is not happening, one or the other is wrong.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 07:55:56 PM »
- Pennsylvania seems close.
-NC is close but we always expected that
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 08:57:11 PM »
Sample sizes of likely voters
AZ 409
FL 806
MI 383
NC 473
PA 699
WI 553
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Buzz
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 08:59:11 PM »
Quote from: Anti-Doomer Activist darthpi on November 02, 2020, 07:51:36 PM
Hasn't this been one of Trump's better pollsters all year?
not at all
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 09:01:28 PM »

The Change/CNBC series has been better somewhat for him than the average in the swing states for most of the second half of the year at least.
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swf541
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 09:07:32 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on November 02, 2020, 09:01:28 PM

The Change/CNBC series has been better somewhat for him than the average in the swing states for most of the second half of the year at least.

Yep they have definitely been one of his better pollsters
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2020, 06:55:39 AM »
Quote from: VARepublican on November 02, 2020, 07:52:27 PM
AZ does seem to have tightened a bit, which is surprising. Trump’s not winning it, though.

this has Biden +3 which has been the average generally for a while now
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2020, 11:22:39 AM »
Further results from this poll (breaks down the 3rd party vote): https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-17/
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2020, 11:26:38 AM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:50:33 PM
WI: Biden +8
PA: Biden +4
NC: Biden +2
MI: Biden +7
FL: Biden +3
AZ: Biden +3

Wolverines, badgers, 'gators, and diamondback rattlers are attacking Trump at once.

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President Johnson
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2020, 01:03:53 PM »
Please let it be true, but Pennsylvania is still a little too close for comfort.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2020, 10:34:03 PM »
Crazy poll, eat crow
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StateBoiler
fe234
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« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2020, 08:54:14 AM »
Change Research was the pollster that said Eric Holcomb was up 36-30-24 in Indiana. He's going to win 58-30-12.

Is there some kind of credentials meeting for pollsters where they determine "no, you suck at your job too much, you're not in the pollster club"?
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