MT-NYT/Siena: Daines +3 | Rosendale +4 (user search)
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  MT-NYT/Siena: Daines +3 | Rosendale +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT-NYT/Siena: Daines +3 | Rosendale +4  (Read 1694 times)
KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« on: October 23, 2020, 12:07:39 PM »

This race is going to be close. Good poll for Daines and Rosendale, surprisingly bad poll for Gianforte. But if Daines is really running along with Trump he should be fine.
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2020, 12:09:55 PM »

This race is going to be close. Good poll for Daines and Rosendale, surprisingly bad poll for Gianforte. But if Daines is really running along with Trump he should be fine.

Nothing surprisingly bad about it for Gianforte, honestly. He was never going to win by more than 4-5 points or outperform Daines by more than 2-3 and the undecideds in that race always leaned Democratic.

I only mean in comparison to other polls. I don't expect Greg to win by more than 3.
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2020, 12:19:05 PM »

Favorabilities:
Bullock: 52/43 (+9)
Daines: 50/44 (+6)

Decent numbers for Bullock. This race is going to be close.
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2020, 12:30:31 PM »

The crosstabs show Bullock up 58/38 in Yellowstone, which is outside of the margin of error of even the subsample that is slightly over 100.

Whaaaaaaaaat

IndyRep please explain Smiley
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2020, 01:32:13 PM »

IndyRep how will West Yellowstone vote? My time there wasn’t in an election season so I have no idea at all.
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