Second poll in a row to show MT in mid-single digits.
Weird how the doomers never show up in threads like this, by the way. But they’ll make threads from Rasmussen, Trafalgar, and random fake pollsters that claim their address is the Liberty Bell 8 pages long.
Some people believe that FL is going to vote two points to the left of MT, when it was 19 points to the left of MT in 2016. I don't understand how people can acknowledge that many/most deep red states are going to swing to Biden by double-digits, yet think Trump will simultaneously gain support in battleground states.
Montana is rather unique in how wildly it can swing:
1984 to 1988: D+16.42
1996 to 2000: R+22.12
2004 to 2008: D+18.12
2008 to 2012: R+11.27
Because it was won by the Democrats at the presidential level in 1992 and narrowly won by Republicans (<5%) in both 1996 and 2008, all three of which were big Democratic wins nationwide, I certainly wouldn't be surprised if the end result here this year is not further right than R+5 or so.
