MI - EPIC-MRA: Biden +9
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  MI - EPIC-MRA: Biden +9
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Author Topic: MI - EPIC-MRA: Biden +9  (Read 1146 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 23, 2020, 05:27:36 AM »

Oct 15-19, 600 LV, MoE: 4%

Changes with Oct 8-12 poll.

Biden 48% (n/c)
Trump 39% (n/c)
Other 5% (+1)
Undecided 8% (-1)

SEN: 45-39 Peters (n/c)

https://www.woodtv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/10/2020-EPICMRA-Omnibus-Statewide-Oct-Poll-102320.pdf

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2020, 05:29:39 AM »

.... we're 11 days out and they're still finding 13% other/undecided in the prez race, and 16% other/undecided in the senate race? really?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2020, 05:29:47 AM »

Ready for the new round of "taken before debate, junk it!" takes, VARep? Cheesy
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Hammy
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2020, 05:30:29 AM »
« Edited: October 23, 2020, 05:33:51 AM by Hammy »

This poll massively under-polled both Clinton and Trump in 2016--was 41-34 at this point. 25% were undecided/other: 24% went to Clinton, 56% to Trump--would still end with D 51-46.

.... we're 11 days out and they're still finding 13% other/undecided in the prez race, and 16% other/undecided in the senate race? really?

They had by far the most undecideds of any pollster in 2016 as well--almost double the average.
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philly09
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2020, 05:32:00 AM »

Push. The. Undecideds.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2020, 05:34:20 AM »

Changes with October 8-12
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2020, 07:09:45 AM »

My gut says this would be about Biden +6 or +7 with undecideds pushed.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2020, 07:49:33 AM »

It's about time we got to see some Bernie Porn
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2020, 11:57:57 AM »

Is the Trump campaign even really contesting MI anymore? They've pulled out of direct advertising in the state and I don't see any big rallies scheduled in the state.

Trump's easiest path to re-election is to holding all the sunbelt states (FL, GA, NC, TX, AZ) and winning PA. This gets him to 280 electoral votes (279 if he loses NE-1).
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2020, 12:01:23 PM »

Is the Trump campaign even really contesting MI anymore? They've pulled out of direct advertising in the state and I don't see any big rallies scheduled in the state.

Trump's easiest path to re-election is to holding all the sunbelt states (FL, GA, NC, TX, AZ) and winning PA. This gets him to 280 electoral votes (279 if he loses NE-1).

That's probably Trump's easiest path to re-election to the extent that it is probably his *only* semi-plausible path to re-election.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2020, 12:18:31 PM »

.... we're 11 days out and they're still finding 13% other/undecided in the prez race, and 16% other/undecided in the senate race? really?

Bernie Porn is such a tease.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2020, 12:25:51 PM »

.... we're 11 days out and they're still finding 13% other/undecided in the prez race, and 16% other/undecided in the senate race? really?

Bernie Porn is such a tease.

You always gotta leave a little for the imagination.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2020, 07:29:52 PM »

Is the Trump campaign even really contesting MI anymore? They've pulled out of direct advertising in the state and I don't see any big rallies scheduled in the state.

Trump's easiest path to re-election is to holding all the sunbelt states (FL, GA, NC, TX, AZ) and winning PA. This gets him to 280 electoral votes (279 if he loses NE-1).

Him not contesting Michigan would be ridiculous. Given how gone Arizona is for the Republicans (the state is MORE urban then Oregon and full of educated white suburbanites). The same shifts going on in Michigan for Biden (if he's ahead there) would be going on in Pennsylvania.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2020, 07:31:25 PM »

Is the Trump campaign even really contesting MI anymore? They've pulled out of direct advertising in the state and I don't see any big rallies scheduled in the state.

Trump's easiest path to re-election is to holding all the sunbelt states (FL, GA, NC, TX, AZ) and winning PA. This gets him to 280 electoral votes (279 if he loses NE-1).

Him not contesting Michigan would be ridiculous. Given how gone Arizona is for the Republicans (the state is MORE urban then Oregon and full of educated white suburbanites). The same shifts going on in Michigan for Biden (if he's ahead there) would be going on in Pennsylvania.

There is fair reason to believe PA is an easier lift. Part of Appalachia extends into it and that has had a more robust R trend than other northern rural areas.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2020, 02:21:41 PM »

New Poll: Michigan President by EPIC/MRA on 2020-10-19

Summary: D: 48%, R: 39%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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