Looking like Cooney needs a miracle to win. I think most Democrats outside of MT would prefer a Gianforte/Bullock split to a Cooney/Daines split, but still, dang, Cooney is really blowing this big time.
This is a much more surmountable +7% lead than one where a candidate is already over 50%, especially in a non-federal race where there's more flexibility. This poll alone suggests the race is still just about lean R (so competitive) and not entirely out of Cooney's control.
Conducted by Strategies 360
October 15-20
500 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%
Bishop (L) 4%
Undecided 7%
They also polled the Superintended of Public Instruction Race, in which the Democrat is ahead.
Melissa Romano (D) 41%
Elsie Arntzen (R-inc.) 39%
Leatherbarrow (L) 5%
Undecided 16%
