NE - Cygnal: Sasse +30 (at 47%)
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  NE - Cygnal: Sasse +30 (at 47%)
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Author Topic: NE - Cygnal: Sasse +30 (at 47%)  (Read 581 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 22, 2020, 12:58:17 PM »

Oct 19-21, 625 LV, MoE: 3.9%

Sasse (R-inc) 47%
Janicek (D) 18%
Siadek (L) 6%
Undecided 29%

GCB: 53-38 R

Favorabilities:
Ricketts: 53/38 (+15)
Sasse: 41/46 (-5)
Janicek: 14/30 (-16)

https://www.cygn.al/cygnal-poll-sasse-up-30-points-in-nebraska-senate-race/
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Left Wing
FalterinArc
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2020, 12:59:22 PM »

Why didn't they include Preston Love?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2020, 01:06:59 PM »

So much for SurveyMonkey's Trump+6% in Nebraska.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2020, 01:55:03 PM »

#SasseUnder50

#tiltDNebraska
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2020, 01:58:21 PM »

53% don't want Sasse. Just ask Bob Casey, who was at 47% in a poll as well. Lean Democratic. /s
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2020, 02:00:54 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2020, 02:04:36 PM by Alben Barkley »

So much for SurveyMonkey's Trump+6% in Nebraska.

Not saying that isn't probably way off, but considering the very unusual circumstances of this Senate race (relatively/performatively anti-Trump senator will likely get some crossover vote, especially against a Democrat tainted by scandal who has lost the support of his state party in favor of a write-in candidate), I wouldn't draw many conclusions about the presidential numbers based on this.
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Badger
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2020, 07:52:41 PM »

#Sasseunder50
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2020, 07:53:34 PM »

New Poll: Nebraska Senator by Cygnal on 2020-10-21

Summary: D: 18%, R: 47%, U: 29%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2020, 10:52:41 PM »

So much for SurveyMonkey's Trump+6% in Nebraska.

Not saying that isn't probably way off, but considering the very unusual circumstances of this Senate race (relatively/performatively anti-Trump senator will likely get some crossover vote, especially against a Democrat tainted by scandal who has lost the support of his state party in favor of a write-in candidate), I wouldn't draw many conclusions about the presidential numbers based on this.

2014 was of course an eternity ago politically speaking, and was a low-turnout, Republican midterm wave year, but Sasse got 64% that year and won every county in the state. Even with Janicek's problems, I doubt he is going to be able to replicate that kind of performance. Nevertheless, this race is far and away Safe R, and I expect Sasse to outperform Trump by a decent amount.
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