WI (RMG Research): Biden +6 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 11:49:26 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  WI (RMG Research): Biden +6 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: WI (RMG Research): Biden +6  (Read 1596 times)
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,711
United States


« on: October 22, 2020, 03:22:30 PM »
« edited: October 22, 2020, 03:33:17 PM by Hammy »

Have they polled Wisconsin in prior cycles? I like comparing data but am not finding any.
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,711
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2020, 06:54:43 PM »

In 2012, Wisconsin was D+1.5. In 2016, it was R+1.5. With WWC regressing to a new mean and moderate minorities canceling out moderate middle class people, I think Wisconsin will vote at the tipping point. What do you think of this?

(1) Trump is not getting 40% of nonwhites...he will do slightly better than Walker.
(2) yup correct Wisconsin is not only the tipping point state (TBF that's Minnesota) but will vote 3 to 4% to the right of the nation and

(3) potentially more. 50-47 Biden here even in a D wave and +9 Biden environment. The state is gone for the Democrats in less then 2 weeks.
You keep acting like you know what's going on in Wisconsin, Michigan, and other similar states.  What evidence can you present that these states are realigning so strongly?

voted 2-3% to the right of the nation in 2016
Polling has consistent Biden +10 leads but consistent +4 to 6 in those states

why is this so complicated?

You're acting like how far left or right will automatically remain consistent or automatically trend rightward in every election.
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,711
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2020, 07:40:05 PM »

Trump still seems to be having that issue getting over that 44-45% hump.  

He sort of had the same issue in the last election but luckily for him third party candidates were a lot more popular in that election.

That makes no sense given the reason the polls were wrong were not Hillary under-performing, but undecideds breaking for Trump. He ended up well above what his polling average was where Hillary was either even or slightly higher.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 13 queries.