VA (WaPo/Schar School): Biden +11
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  VA (WaPo/Schar School): Biden +11
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Author Topic: VA (WaPo/Schar School): Biden +11  (Read 1343 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 22, 2020, 09:05:27 AM »
« edited: October 22, 2020, 09:09:31 AM by wbrocks67 »

Biden 52
Trump 41

https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2020/10/22/virginia-poll-biden-ahead-trump/?arc404=true

Warner leads by 18 (57-39), so a lot of the undecideds appear to be more Dem leaning.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2020, 09:09:38 AM »

October 13-19
908 likely voters
MoE: 4% for likely voters

Jorgensen 3%
Other 0% (but some voters)
None of these 0% (but some voters)
Would not vote 0% (but some voters)
No opinion 4%
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VAR
VARepublican
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2020, 09:12:38 AM »

Trump approval: 41/57 (-16)

So yeah, wbrocks67 is correct, Trump probably loses by more than 11% here.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2020, 09:13:41 AM »

How in the hell does Warner have a 5% higher vote share than Biden? Shy Biden voters?
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2020, 09:15:23 AM »

How in the hell does Warner have a 5% higher vote share than Biden? Shy Biden voters?

Warner probably has some residual goodwill in parts of rural Virginia, dating from the days of his governorship. And he is the incumbent Democratic Senator facing a virtually unknown Republican opponent.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2020, 09:26:51 AM »

Nice! Funny how fast VA went from Safe R to Safe D.
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Rand
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2020, 09:29:22 AM »



S H E N A N D O A H   J O E
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2020, 07:01:24 PM »

New Poll: Virginia President by Washington Post on 2020-10-19

Summary: D: 52%, R: 41%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2020, 07:33:42 PM »

Nice! Funny how fast VA went from Safe R to Safe D.

Lol this poll is a joke.

Biden is winning VA by more if he's up by 10 (or even Cool.

Prollay 55-42 Biden.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2020, 07:40:54 PM »

Nice! Funny how fast VA went from Safe R to Safe D.

Lol this poll is a joke.

Biden is winning VA by more if he's up by 10 (or even Cool.

Prollay 55-42 Biden.

Will be interesting how VA trends relative to 2016.

Ugh if it trends slight R there will be a lot of debate about its future. The larger biden wins nationally the more likely it will "trend" r relative to 2016. Since the white rural base is rock solid R.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2020, 07:41:45 PM »

Nice! Funny how fast VA went from Safe R to Safe D.

Lol this poll is a joke.

Biden is winning VA by more if he's up by 10 (or even Cool.

Prollay 55-42 Biden.

Will be interesting how VA trends relative to 2016.

Ugh if it trends slight R there will be a lot of debate about its future. The larger biden wins nationally the more likely it will "trend" r relative to 2016. Since the white rural base is rock solid R.

I don't even think it "trends" R.

But this forum will still be debating Loundon County in 2023 lol even after Biden breaks 60 there.
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ExSky
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2020, 07:42:30 PM »

Nice! Funny how fast VA went from Safe R to Safe D.

Lol this poll is a joke.

Biden is winning VA by more if he's up by 10 (or even Cool.

Prollay 55-42 Biden.

How, in your head did you rationalize calling this +11 poll a joke and then predict only slightly higher at Biden +13?
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2020, 07:43:39 PM »

Nice! Funny how fast VA went from Safe R to Safe D.

Lol this poll is a joke.

Biden is winning VA by more if he's up by 10 (or even Cool.

Prollay 55-42 Biden.

How, in your head did you rationalize calling this +11 poll a joke and then predict only slightly higher at Biden +13?

Because if Biden is up by 10% he's obviously winning VA by more.

Seems like your just looking to disagree with my posts.
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