Morning Consult - a bunch of states

[TheLaRocca]

We're now in the phase where pollsters release a load of polls from various states and one or two of them look distinctly out of place amongst the others.

MoE

Republicans can't sleep on Texas though.

[TheLaRocca]

outliers exist.

[TheLaRocca]

I told you people Texas was gonna be close.

[TheLaRocca]

I love this song.

Biden is polling better then Beto.

[TheLaRocca]

I hope we are not all deeply regretting Biden's campaign basically ignoring this state on November 4...

IMO Biden's biggest mistake of 2020.

Wasserman says slight investments by either party can flip the state.

[TheLaRocca]

I hope we are not all deeply regretting Biden's campaign basically ignoring this state on November 4...

IMO Biden's biggest mistake of 2020.

Wasserman says slight investments by either party can flip the state.

I think if they had known this summer that they'd be raising $10-15 million per day in the fall, they'd have probably planned to do more in Texas. It is a very expensive state to campaign in, but it's still crazy to me that everyone is ignoring a state that is polling at basically a tie and has a ton of important downballot races.

Yeah, texas can really go either way at this point. I'd say Trump is slightly favored but its gonna be within 2% either way.

[TheLaRocca]

ASI (who called 2016, Brexit, and Canadian GE) flips Texas to Biden.

https://advancedsymbolics.com/us-election/

[TheLaRocca]

Does Hegar need to make the explicit point "If you're voting for Biden, you've got to vote for me too or Biden can't accomplish anything" in her ads? Is it possible that would be counterproductive? Are there even any Trump/Hegar voters anyway?

She's got to get that message out to every Biden voter somehow.

Corynyn might do 1 or 2% better than Trump. That's it really.