FL - Ryan Tyson (R) - Trump +2
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  FL - Ryan Tyson (R) - Trump +2
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Author Topic: FL - Ryan Tyson (R) - Trump +2  (Read 841 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 24, 2020, 05:51:29 PM »



Seriously doubt Trump is winning young voters.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2020, 05:53:15 PM »

obviously, he's gonna say Trump wins.

Trump has a better chance of winning FL than the election. But I give Biden a 55-60% chance there.
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Rep Jessica
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2020, 05:53:34 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2020, 06:02:11 PM by Rep Jessica »

I am thinking Trump wins Florida...This state just hasn't changed in the past 2 years and the people generally like him.

The cubans will come out big for him as they don't like communism. Their parents had to live under it and they'll be voting for anyone thats against such idiocy.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2020, 05:57:37 PM »

Apparently this "poll" uses data from Trafalgar.  JUNK IT!
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2020, 05:58:11 PM »

Topline is believable-ish (I have a hard time seeing anyone winning FL by 2), but I can't see how Trump wins 18-29.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2020, 05:58:47 PM »

Apparently this "poll" uses data from Trafalgar.  JUNK IT!

I don't get why everyone thinks Trump has it in the bag in Florida if Senior swings are accurate.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2020, 05:59:23 PM »

No pollster who shows Trump doing better than 2016 should be taken seriously.

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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2020, 05:59:31 PM »

13% of Dems seems high to me, even factoring in the panhandle DINOs
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VAR
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« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2020, 06:00:41 PM »

ayy lmao
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2020, 06:02:09 PM »

Seriously doubt Trump is winning young voters.

That's not the only howler. Apparently Biden loses every age group, except seniors.
Also he wins one quarter of Somewhat Conservative Voters, carries Moderates by 15 points, and yet he still loses.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2020, 06:02:42 PM »

No pollster who shows Trump doing better than 2016 should be taken seriously.



It's just them saying Trump is ahead everywhere.

Trump could very well win Florida (though Biden is favored) but if he does it won't be because of this poll.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2020, 06:03:25 PM »

Seriously doubt Trump is winning young voters.

That's not the only howler. Apparently Biden loses every age group, except seniors.
Also he wins one quarter of Somewhat Conservative Voters, carries Moderates by 15 points, and yet he still loses.

If Biden is winning FL seniors (a group Nelson lost by 9) he's winning the state. That simple.

Someone please tell me how Trump > Scott in Dade lol.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2020, 06:09:09 PM »

So is this just the Trafalgar poll?
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Hammy
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2020, 06:19:26 PM »

Apparently this "poll" uses data from Trafalgar.  JUNK IT!

So they're just taking Trafalgar numbers and manipulating them?

Also people forgetting that Florida's Gov poll was only won by 32k votes (0.4%) and Senate by 10k (0.13%)--both statistically insignificant margins that polls were never going to figure out.

I think 2020 will be the same margin wise--nobody winning by more than a point (if not significantly less), and it will come down to who can squeeze out more of their support by election day.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2020, 06:27:49 PM »

Is this a poll or some analysis on early voting data ?
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
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« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2020, 06:29:28 PM »

When are we going to get some quality A+ polls? It’s nothing but R junk for the past 2 days.
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Buzz
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2020, 06:29:36 PM »

I don’t this is a poll, so delete.
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Xing
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2020, 06:30:21 PM »

Well, that’s it, I guess. I mean, how could Atlas possibly be wrong about FL?

Likely Tilt R -> Vibranium Tilt R
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2020, 06:47:12 PM »

I expect Trump to win Florida by 1-2 points.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2020, 06:48:28 PM »

Only 92% between the two major candidates?  Squinting
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2020, 06:51:52 PM »

When are we going to get some quality A+ polls? It’s nothing but R junk for the past 2 days.

Probably by Wednesday. Most likely they wanted to conduct their polls entirely after the debate.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2020, 06:54:50 PM »

Well, that’s it, I guess. I mean, how could Atlas possibly be wrong about FL?

Likely Tilt R -> Vibranium Tilt R

Why only Likely Tilt R? It’s been Titanium Tilt R since "Bill Nelson lost in a D+9 year."
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Person Man
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« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2020, 06:58:42 PM »

I don’t this is a poll, so delete.
You mean this is not a poll?
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