Morning Consult: Dems lead in AZ/CO/MI/NC/SC, R’s lead in GA/TX

[Benjamin Frank]

Yeah these are junk....

Harrison has faded in recent weeks. SC is Likely R

Y'all are nutty. You don't even live in SC. The enthusiasm is off the charts for Jaime.

How the hell is this race so competitive, though? It's one of the few areas of the coastal South where, if my factors are correct, the fastest growing areas are the most Republican. From an outsider's perspective it seems that people, including loyal Republicans, are just sick of Lindsey Graham; he is a massive hypocrite promoting a type of conservatism that is losing favor with the base.

They also could just be embarrassed that he's such a pathetic toady. 

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Arizona Senator (Special) by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 48%, R: 44%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 50%, R: 42%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 44%, R: 46%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Michigan Senator by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 48%, R: 42%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 48%, R: 42%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: South Carolina Senator by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 47%, R: 45%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Texas Senator by Morning Consult on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 41%, R: 46%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[MT Treasurer]

LOL @ Graham doing worse then Perdue and Cornyn
Inb4 IndyRep

Senators Perdue and Cornyn are the absolute cream of the crop, so it’s not entirely appropriate to compare any blatantly mediocre incumbent out there to them, but if Graham possessed even so much as a modicum of their strengths and qualities as a candidate, he’d probably be slightly favored to win reelection. There’s a reason turnout is at a record high this year, and it’s not because voters can’t tell the difference between a weak incumbent and a strong incumbent. Cornyn will be rewarded with an easy reelection and a call at poll closing time whereas Ernst will be the third Republican after Gardner and McSally to get the boot precisely because candidate quality matters.