MI (RP/Trafalgar): Trump +2
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  MI (RP/Trafalgar): Trump +2		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: MI (RP/Trafalgar): Trump +2  (Read 2502 times)
Buzz
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« on: October 22, 2020, 01:04:48 AM »
Trump 46.7
Biden 44.9

https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/1001/attachments/original/1603307463/RSTP_MI_'20_Oct_Press_Report.pdf?1603307463
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Rand
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2020, 01:06:55 AM »
Whatever happened to fidget spinners? Are those still a thing?
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ucscgaldamez1
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2020, 01:08:11 AM »
Hopefully you'll be the first one to give feedback if Biden wins with over 5% in Michigan, a swing of 7 pts. What will your response be?
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Buzz
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2020, 01:09:47 AM »
Quote from: ucscgaldamez1 on October 22, 2020, 01:08:11 AM
Hopefully you'll be the first one to give feedback if Biden wins with over 5% in Michigan, a swing of 7 pts. What will your response be?
I have Biden winning Michigan.  I merely just posted a poll.  I think you need to contact Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar Group with your question.
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Rep Jessica
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2020, 01:10:59 AM »
YESSSS!!! TRUMP!!! Trump!!! Make America great again!!!!

Wahooo!!!!!
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Rand
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2020, 01:13:02 AM »
Quote from: Rep Jessica on October 22, 2020, 01:10:59 AM
YESSSS!!! TRUMP!!! Trump!!! Make America great again!!!!

Wahooo!!!!!

Finally found the perfect post to quote when Trump loses. Thanks.
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Hammy
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2020, 01:13:40 AM »
Numbers are too low to tell us much. Trafalgar starting to fall into the same trappings that the Clinton-2016 polling leads did.
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ucscgaldamez1
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2020, 01:13:54 AM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 22, 2020, 01:09:47 AM
Quote from: ucscgaldamez1 on October 22, 2020, 01:08:11 AM
Hopefully you'll be the first one to give feedback if Biden wins with over 5% in Michigan, a swing of 7 pts. What will your response be?
I have Biden winning Michigan.  I merely just posted a poll.  I think you need to contact Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar Group with your question.

Hopefully, we will find out soon enough if these so called Shy Trump voters came out in droves or stayed home or....?
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Woody
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2020, 01:18:31 AM »
Toss up.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2020, 01:22:54 AM »
From what we saw the last four years Trump voters are anything but shy.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2020, 01:28:59 AM »
This pollster is straight up hilarious
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2020, 01:32:41 AM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on October 22, 2020, 01:28:59 AM
This pollster is straight up hilarious

Yeah, I always love seeing "Re: Trafalgar . . ." in the last post area because it never fails to crack me up.
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Horus
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2020, 01:33:28 AM »
Either Trafalgar and Emerson are right or everyone else is. I guess we'll find out soon.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2020, 01:34:42 AM »
Quote from: Horus on October 22, 2020, 01:33:28 AM
Either Trafalgar and Emerson are right or everyone else is. I guess we'll find out soon.

Emerson last had Biden up by 11 in Michigan.
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Yoda
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2020, 01:57:17 AM »
Well. I am really looking forward now to an official forum rule after the election that polls from Trafalgar are permanently banned.

This would be like a Quinnipiac poll having Biden up by 2 in Nebraska or Tennessee right now.
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Hammy
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2020, 02:26:21 AM »
Quote from: Yoda on October 22, 2020, 01:57:17 AM
Well. I am really looking forward now to an official forum rule after the election that polls from Trafalgar are permanently banned.

This would be like a Quinnipiac poll having Biden up by 2 in Nebraska or Tennessee right now.

I'd rather Atlas not become the left wing version of RCP just so we cam collectively use the polls as comfort blankets.

And Trafalgar was more accurate than Quinnipiac so if one goes the other should.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2020, 02:50:53 AM »
Percentages. PERCENTAGES!!!!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2020, 03:06:23 AM »
Hunter Biden emails if these are the results is the root cause of Biden corruption
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2020, 03:37:53 AM »
For the Restoration PAC (R)
October 15-18
1034 likely voters
MoE: 2.97%
Changes with October 11-14 poll which wasn't for partisan sponsor

Trump 47% (n/c)
Biden 45% (-1)
Jorgensen 3% (n/c)
Hawkins 2% (n/c)
Someone else 2% (n/c)
Undecided 2% (n/c)
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Crumpets
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« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2020, 04:22:36 AM »
I'm going to laugh so hard when Trump wins Michigan by 2 only to lose Georgia by 7. #BelieveAllPolls
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VAR
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« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2020, 06:17:41 AM »
Quote from: Hammy on October 22, 2020, 02:26:21 AM
Quote from: Yoda on October 22, 2020, 01:57:17 AM
Well. I am really looking forward now to an official forum rule after the election that polls from Trafalgar are permanently banned.

This would be like a Quinnipiac poll having Biden up by 2 in Nebraska or Tennessee right now.

I'd rather Atlas not become the left wing version of RCP just so we cam collectively use the polls as comfort blankets.

And Trafalgar was more accurate than Quinnipiac so if one goes the other should.

Quinnipiac is a much better pollster than Trafalgar, which says a lot.
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Ljube
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« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2020, 06:30:16 AM »
If this is true, then Minnesota is in play too.
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Rand
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« Reply #22 on: October 22, 2020, 06:34:07 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 22, 2020, 06:30:16 AM
If this is true, then Minnesota is in play too.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #23 on: October 22, 2020, 06:47:53 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 22, 2020, 06:30:16 AM
If this is true, then Minnesota is in play too.


We must stop taking every poll literally, Rassy has had Biden ahead in every single battleground and Fox polls released showed Biden ahead, but Trafalgar seems to suggest Trump is winning on the email thing and he isn't due to Trump being impeached on Don Jr behalf with Russians voters know it
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #24 on: October 22, 2020, 07:20:58 AM »
Up until election day Trafalgar is gonna show Trump up in one of the trio of states, because if Trump loses all three he is down to 260, simple as that and Hunter Biden email story is still an issue in the campaign. We just have to prove that they were wrong on Election day
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