Who wins NY-11?

[Tekken_Guy]

Who will carry NY-11?

[MATTROSE94]

Easily Nicole Malliotakis.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Used to think Malliotakis, now Tilt Rose

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Rose

[Kuumo]

Max Rose will win. He has established a strong personal brand independent of the national Democratic Party. If Atlas is any indication, his ads might even convince a few Republicans that he is really one of them and will switch parties after the election. 

[Badger]

I woukd be genuinely surprised if Rose lost, even though his opponent is about the best the GOP could've run (after Joey Salads dropped out, of course).

[Calthrina950]

Rose, although Malliotakis certainly has a shot. I think the "wave" environment building for Democrats this year, along with Rose's crossover appeal and his status as a "reasonable" Democrat will enable him to win reelection, but he will be one of the most vulnerable Democrats in 2022.

[Stuart98]

Lean Rose

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

rose

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Lean D, closer to Tossup than Likely.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Rose, although Malliotakis certainly has a shot. I think the "wave" environment building for Democrats this year, along with Rose's crossover appeal and his status as a "reasonable" Democrat will enable him to win reelection, but he will be one of the most vulnerable Democrats in 2022.

He'll be safe if the Dem supermajority legislature nukes the redistricting commission and draws lower Manhattan into his seat instead of Bay Ridge.

[lfromnj]

Rose, although Malliotakis certainly has a shot. I think the "wave" environment building for Democrats this year, along with Rose's crossover appeal and his status as a "reasonable" Democrat will enable him to win reelection, but he will be one of the most vulnerable Democrats in 2022.

He'll be safe if the Dem supermajority legislature nukes the redistricting commission and draws lower Manhattan into his seat instead of Bay Ridge.

He doesn't get Manhattan. He gets those problematic white hipsters in West Brooklyn who no one else wants. Same effect.

[Suburbia]

Rose wins 52%-47%

I live in the NYC market from NJ and I see the ads all the time.

Pro-police groups call him antipolice, he says that he opposes defunding of police.

He is a moderate Democrat.

Staten Island is a conservative borough

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Rose, although Malliotakis certainly has a shot. I think the "wave" environment building for Democrats this year, along with Rose's crossover appeal and his status as a "reasonable" Democrat will enable him to win reelection, but he will be one of the most vulnerable Democrats in 2022.

He'll be safe if the Dem supermajority legislature nukes the redistricting commission and draws lower Manhattan into his seat instead of Bay Ridge.

He doesn't get Manhattan. He gets those problematic white hipsters in West Brooklyn who no one else wants. Same effect.

Bay Ridge is mainly crusty Irish/Italian civil servants, and a growing Arab population. The white hipsters are mainly up in NY-12 (source: I'm one of those problematic white hipsters).

To answer the question: Max Rose has this.

[PAK Man]

Rose. He defeated a non-controversial incumbent in a race that had nobody's attention by 5 points in 2018. I think he's being underestimated by so many people.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Rose. He defeated a non-controversial incumbent in a race that had nobody's attention by 5 points in 2018. I think he's being underestimated by so many people.

It's easy to get down on his chances as a New Yorker exactly because he's such a good fit for his district. Lots of NYC dwellers who don't live in NY-11 can't stand him (because he's way to their right, and endorsed Bloomberg in the primary), so it's easy to think that his approval ratings are in the toilet. But Staten Island likes him so that's all that matters.

[lfromnj]

Rose, although Malliotakis certainly has a shot. I think the "wave" environment building for Democrats this year, along with Rose's crossover appeal and his status as a "reasonable" Democrat will enable him to win reelection, but he will be one of the most vulnerable Democrats in 2022.

He'll be safe if the Dem supermajority legislature nukes the redistricting commission and draws lower Manhattan into his seat instead of Bay Ridge.

He doesn't get Manhattan. He gets those problematic white hipsters in West Brooklyn who no one else wants. Same effect.

Bay Ridge is mainly crusty Irish/Italian civil servants, and a growing Arab population. The white hipsters are mainly up in NY-12 (source: I'm one of those problematic white hipsters).

To answer the question: Max Rose has this.

Yes by West Brooklyn I meant the part bordering Manhattan, overall no reason to draw the district upto Manhattan.

[Suburbia]

Rose. He defeated a non-controversial incumbent in a race that had nobody's attention by 5 points in 2018. I think he's being underestimated by so many people.

Daniel Donovan was controversial. He failed to indict Officer Pantaleo for killing Eric Garner, but Staten Island swept it under the rug, because they don't care.