Fox polls MI B+12,WI B+5,PA B+5,OH T+3 (user search)
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  Fox polls MI B+12,WI B+5,PA B+5,OH T+3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fox polls MI B+12,WI B+5,PA B+5,OH T+3  (Read 2383 times)
wbrocks67
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Posts: 21,736


« on: October 21, 2020, 05:12:30 PM »

Seems odd their OH poll swung so hard since the last one. Seems a bit off since the average is about Biden tied right now.

Michigan is too D while PA and WI are too R.
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 21,736


« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 05:15:07 PM »

Michigan: Biden 52, Trump 40
Ohio: Biden 45, Trump 48
Pennsylvania: Biden 50, Trump 45
Wisconsin: Biden 49, Trump 44

Great news for Biden in Michigan, not that great elsewhere.

Democrats won't ever win Michigan by over 5 for the next 20-30 years in a pres race (unless there breaking 10% in the PV).

Ya'll don't seem to understand how far right Michigan has trended.

Both Stabenow and Whitmer won by over 5. You have no standing here.
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 21,736


« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2020, 09:37:39 AM »

Trump approval:
MI: 44/55 (-11)
OH: 50/49 (+1)
PA: 48/52 (-4)
WI: 47/52 (-5)

Trump favorability:
MI: 43/56 (-13)
OH: 48/51 (-3)
PA: 46/54 (-8)
WI: 45/54 (-9)

Biden favorability:
MI: 53/45 (+8)
OH: 50/48 (+2)
PA: 54/45 (+9)
WI: 51/48 (+3)

This explains a lot... MI and OH approvals look correct, but PA/WI look like 4/5 pts too R compared to other Trump approvals we've seen in those states recently.
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