GA-Garin Hart Yang (D): Biden +7
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  GA-Garin Hart Yang (D): Biden +7
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Author Topic: GA-Garin Hart Yang (D): Biden +7  (Read 3859 times)
ON Progressive
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 21, 2020, 04:23:06 PM »

Biden (D) 51
Trump (R) 44

https://electjon.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Pathway-to-Victory-memo-8.pdf
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 04:23:47 PM »

big if true.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2020, 04:24:17 PM »

I want to believe...I want to believe...
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Asta
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2020, 04:24:24 PM »

I only wish it was true.
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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2020, 04:28:20 PM »

Throw it into the average, my prior thus far is that GA is between a tie and +3 Biden. This is a D internal poll, the average bias in internal polls is 3-4 points towards the side that commissioned the poll so taking that into account it puts it in the range of GA polls we have seen.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2020, 04:29:51 PM »

I could see Biden hitting 51 at the end, but I can't see Trump being as low as 44.

Into the average.
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redjohn
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2020, 04:31:30 PM »

Previous poll was Biden 47, Trump 43. Probably skewed towards Biden, but he's gained 4 pts and Trump has gained 1.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2020, 04:36:24 PM »

Still a good poll for Biden, even if a D internal.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2020, 04:36:50 PM »

I’m becoming more and more convinced that it’s at least possible GA will vote to the left of NC. Maybe even FL. Of course, this assumes voter suppression is kept to a minimum.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2020, 04:44:47 PM »

A live look at Biden campaign HQ:


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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2020, 05:13:55 PM »

Look, is it likely? Probably not. But hey, Quinnipiac found the same result in Prez & SEN and the Early Voting #s we are seeing coming out Georgia are absolutely insane.
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mijan
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2020, 05:46:23 PM »

Its internal, still good news for Joe.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2020, 05:48:37 PM »

Look, is it likely? Probably not. But hey, Quinnipiac found the same result in Prez & SEN and the Early Voting #s we are seeing coming out Georgia are absolutely insane.

Biden is favoed in Georgia.
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Badger
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« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2020, 06:12:26 PM »

Look, is it likely? Probably not. But hey, Quinnipiac found the same result in Prez & SEN and the Early Voting #s we are seeing coming out Georgia are absolutely insane.

Biden is favoed in Georgia.

Is he though?

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2020/polls.php?fips=13

I'd love to believe it oh, but if you put a gun to my head I'd probably say Trump pulls it out. I think this is one of the few states where aggressive voter suppression can and will Nair really make the difference. There are few states that are so close and simultaneously so enthrall to a Republican state government apparatus doing everything possible to throw votes out.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2020, 06:13:13 PM »

Nope, not gonna happen. That 7% Biden margin will be a 7% Trump margin by the time Kemp gets a hold of the votes
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2020, 06:14:24 PM »

Nope, not gonna happen. That 7% Biden margin will be a 7% Trump margin by the time Kemp gets a hold of the votes

I believe Biden is favored to win Georgia, but even you have to admit +7 isn't realistic
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2020, 06:15:31 PM »

Is it there yet?!
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2020, 06:16:46 PM »

The Trump voters at my job are excited to either vote fro Trump in the next few days or are excited to have voted for Trump already.

Granted, I'm in a 80% Trump county, so that's basically all I'm exposed to...but I just have a feeling Trump will pull out a win here.
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WD
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« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2020, 06:18:09 PM »


Idk, ask Amy Walter.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #19 on: October 21, 2020, 06:24:08 PM »

For Ossoff's campaign
October 11-14
600 likely voters
Changes with July 9-15

Biden 51% (+4)
Trump 44% (+1)
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #20 on: October 21, 2020, 06:57:22 PM »

The Trump voters at my job are excited to either vote fro Trump in the next few days or are excited to have voted for Trump already.

Granted, I'm in a 80% Trump county, so that's basically all I'm exposed to...but I just have a feeling Trump will pull out a win here.

lol that's as reliable as someone who lives in an all-black neighborhood in st. Louis saying everyone he/she knows is for Biden.

Biden is favored in GA.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #21 on: October 21, 2020, 06:58:44 PM »

Look, is it likely? Probably not. But hey, Quinnipiac found the same result in Prez & SEN and the Early Voting #s we are seeing coming out Georgia are absolutely insane.

Biden is favoed in Georgia.

Is he though?

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2020/polls.php?fips=13

I'd love to believe it oh, but if you put a gun to my head I'd probably say Trump pulls it out. I think this is one of the few states where aggressive voter suppression can and will Nair really make the difference. There are few states that are so close and simultaneously so enthrall to a Republican state government apparatus doing everything possible to throw votes out.

(1) Trending Demographics
(2) Educated whites voting much more D then 2018
(3) Biden up in PV by 8-10

with current conditions, Biden will win GA by about 1 to 2%.
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EJ24
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« Reply #22 on: October 21, 2020, 06:59:21 PM »

The Trump voters at my job are excited to either vote fro Trump in the next few days or are excited to have voted for Trump already.

Granted, I'm in a 80% Trump county, so that's basically all I'm exposed to...but I just have a feeling Trump will pull out a win here.

Go to the Atlanta suburbs and talk to some people, my friend.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #23 on: October 21, 2020, 07:18:00 PM »

Bqhatevwr
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #24 on: October 21, 2020, 08:11:13 PM »

No chance.
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