PA-07 (F&M): Biden +7
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  PA-07 (F&M): Biden +7		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: PA-07 (F&M): Biden +7  (Read 735 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 21, 2020, 06:38:38 AM »
Oct 12-18, ? LV, MoE: 5.8%

Biden 51%
Trump 44%

https://www.lehighvalleylive.com/swingcounty/2020/10/trump-down-in-lehigh-valley-after-covid-19-bout-lehighvalleylivecomfm-college-poll-shows.html
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 06:44:56 AM »
This district voted about the same as the state in 2016, so would confirm Biden up about 7/8 in PA. Though this one has Susan Wild up 8, so it may be a bit R-leaning. I don't imagine she loses by less than her 2018 win.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2020, 06:37:01 PM »
447 likely voters
Changes with "September poll"

Biden 51% (+3)
Trump 44% (+2)
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2020, 07:14:54 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 21, 2020, 06:44:56 AM
This district voted about the same as the state in 2016, so would confirm Biden up about 7/8 in PA. Though this one has Susan Wild up 8, so it may be a bit R-leaning. I don't imagine she loses by less than her 2018 win.

I'm guessing slight Trump improvements in Philly-Pittsburg and not much change in rural PA.

Biden wins by 4 or 5 if everything else remains the same.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2020, 07:16:49 PM »
Quote from: TheLaRocca on October 21, 2020, 07:14:54 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 21, 2020, 06:44:56 AM
This district voted about the same as the state in 2016, so would confirm Biden up about 7/8 in PA. Though this one has Susan Wild up 8, so it may be a bit R-leaning. I don't imagine she loses by less than her 2018 win.

I'm guessing slight Trump improvements in Philly-Pittsburg and not much change in rural PA.

Biden wins by 4 or 5 if everything else remains the same.
I think Biden's wins Pa high single digits, mid single digits worst case scenario
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lfromnj
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2020, 10:04:18 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 21, 2020, 06:44:56 AM
This district voted about the same as the state in 2016, so would confirm Biden up about 7/8 in PA. Though this one has Susan Wild up 8, so it may be a bit R-leaning. I don't imagine she loses by less than her 2018 win.
Its 2 points left of the state for both 2012 and 2016.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2020, 11:04:58 PM »
Quote from: TheLaRocca on October 21, 2020, 07:14:54 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 21, 2020, 06:44:56 AM
This district voted about the same as the state in 2016, so would confirm Biden up about 7/8 in PA. Though this one has Susan Wild up 8, so it may be a bit R-leaning. I don't imagine she loses by less than her 2018 win.

I'm guessing slight Trump improvements in Philly-Pittsburg and not much change in rural PA.

Biden wins by 4 or 5 if everything else remains the same.

"Improvements" meaning trends or swing?
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