IA - Siena College/NYT Upshot: Ernst +1% (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 03:54:29 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  IA - Siena College/NYT Upshot: Ernst +1% (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IA - Siena College/NYT Upshot: Ernst +1%  (Read 2442 times)
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,043


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« on: October 21, 2020, 12:33:04 PM »

This race is still competitive, though I think "Lean D" was probably a bit premature. I'm highly interested in what the final Selzer poll will show.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,043


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 03:57:02 PM »

I’m going to be honest, I don’t know what Sabato is thinking moving this to lean D. Personally, I think Greenfield wins, but if she ends up losing he’s going to have a truckload of egg on his face.

Even if Ernst wins, we’ll get 1 1/2 years of this...

"Why Republicans are right to fret over Abby Finkenauer's entry into the Iowa Senate race"

- Analysis by Chris Cillizza

"Finkenauer in: Iowa Senate from Lean R to Tossup"

- Analysis by Larry Sabato

And then she loses by 10-11 points.


She’d be an idiot to run in a Biden midterm.

In a universe where Trump wins reelection, I think she would be a good candidate to run for Senate in a six-year itch scenario (pulling off a fluke victory in an R-trending state that isn't entirely gone but then losing in 2028 by a substantial margin/the partisan lean of the state in a presidential year winning out, much like Cory Gardner in 2014/2020). I wonder if she had that in mind when passing on a Senate run this year.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 13 queries.