IA - Siena College/NYT Upshot: Ernst +1% (user search)
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  IA - Siena College/NYT Upshot: Ernst +1% (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA - Siena College/NYT Upshot: Ernst +1%  (Read 2506 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 21, 2020, 12:32:02 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 21, 2020, 12:30:17 PM
Favorables suggest undecideds probably would go with Greenfield:

Greenfield:
- 51% Favorable
- 38% Unfavorable

Ernst
- 46% Favorable
- 47% Unfavorable

Yeah, I'm not sure how you end up with Ernst +1 with Greenfield +13 vs. Ernst -1. All of the undecideds must feel favorable toward Greenfield and not Ernst, so that bodes well for Greenfield.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 12:34:33 PM »
Quote from: gracile on October 21, 2020, 12:33:04 PM
This race is still competitive, though I think "Lean D" was probably a bit premature. I'm highly interested in what the final Selzer poll will show.

Greenfield's fav is +13. Ernst's is -1. There's something funky with this topline.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2020, 12:42:58 PM »
Quote from: Skye on October 21, 2020, 12:39:46 PM
Sabato's Crystal Ball just moved this to Lean D.

Yes, and this is one poll. Monmouth average from today between High/Low turnout is Greenfield +4, and the average for Greenfield is still about +4.
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