IA - Siena College/NYT Upshot: Ernst +1% (user search)
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  IA - Siena College/NYT Upshot: Ernst +1% (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA - Siena College/NYT Upshot: Ernst +1%  (Read 2515 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: October 21, 2020, 12:47:47 PM »

Not confident about this race, though I'd still rate it a Toss-Up. Hopefully we get another Selzer poll soon.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 01:28:31 PM »

Sabato's Crystal Ball just moved this to Lean D.

Yeah, they are putting their reputations on the line here. Looks like they seriously jumped the gun on that silly move.

And they'll look stupid if they immediately move it back to Toss-Up, so they're probably stuck with their rating. As I've said, if IA-SEN actually does somehow vote left of NC-SEN, I'll bow down to Larry Sabato, God among Prognosticators.
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