PR - Radio Isla/Jorge Benitez: Gonzalez (PNP-R) +3%
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  PR - Radio Isla/Jorge Benitez: Gonzalez (PNP-R) +3%
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Author Topic: PR - Radio Isla/Jorge Benitez: Gonzalez (PNP-R) +3%  (Read 368 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 21, 2020, 12:18:16 PM »
« edited: October 21, 2020, 08:26:18 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

https://radioisla.tv/jennifer-gonzalez-domina-la-contienda-a-la-comisaria-residente/

October 12-17
676 registered voters
MoE: 3.16%
Changes with July 28-August 3

Gonzalez (PNP-R) 43%
Acevedo Vila (PPD) 40%
Roberto Piņero (PIP) 7%
Jordan Conde (MVC) 2%  
Norah Enriquez (PD) 2%  
Undecided 6%  

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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 12:56:14 PM »

IIRC Vila is hardcore anti-statehood. I wonder how big of a role that issue will play in this election, and if Puerto Rico does become a state, will he accept it and try to be elected as a voting member of the House and/or Senate.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2020, 12:59:01 PM »

IIRC Vila is hardcore anti-statehood. I wonder how big of a role that issue will play in this election, and if Puerto Rico does become a state, will he accept it and try to be elected as a voting member of the House and/or Senate.

Seems like being anti-statehood would become more-or-less moot if/when statehood is achieved. If most politicians are interested in continuing to have a career, then they'd have to accept it (unless they wanna try pulling a Sinn Fein in the Commons).
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2020, 08:26:29 PM »

Update: this poll used registered voters, so trends don't apply
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Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2020, 08:38:23 PM »

IIRC Vila is hardcore anti-statehood. I wonder how big of a role that issue will play in this election, and if Puerto Rico does become a state, will he accept it and try to be elected as a voting member of the House and/or Senate.

Seems like being anti-statehood would become more-or-less moot if/when statehood is achieved. If most politicians are interested in continuing to have a career, then they'd have to accept it (unless they wanna try pulling a Sinn Fein in the Commons).

Yes, there is rather well established precedent that statehood is irrevocable, ha. If statehood happens (but recent polls have suggested the referendum may fail), the PPD will just have to move on to other issues. Probably they are well-positioned to become the main left-wing party in PR once left-wing pro-statehood voters don't have a reason to vote PNP any more, but that will depend on whether PPD is willing to give up the fight.

There would have to be new Congressional elections for the full suite of PR Congressional seats in any event; Vila wouldn't just become the sole PR voting member of Congress. (Probably Congress would just create 4 new seats for PR, and there would be special elections some time in 2021 for those seats, maybe at-large until redistricting can be done before the 2022 elections.)
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2020, 09:00:14 PM »

IIRC Vila is hardcore anti-statehood. I wonder how big of a role that issue will play in this election, and if Puerto Rico does become a state, will he accept it and try to be elected as a voting member of the House and/or Senate.

Seems like being anti-statehood would become more-or-less moot if/when statehood is achieved. If most politicians are interested in continuing to have a career, then they'd have to accept it (unless they wanna try pulling a Sinn Fein in the Commons).

Yes, there is rather well established precedent that statehood is irrevocable, ha. If statehood happens (but recent polls have suggested the referendum may fail), the PPD will just have to move on to other issues. Probably they are well-positioned to become the main left-wing party in PR once left-wing pro-statehood voters don't have a reason to vote PNP any more, but that will depend on whether PPD is willing to give up the fight.

There would have to be new Congressional elections for the full suite of PR Congressional seats in any event; Vila wouldn't just become the sole PR voting member of Congress. (Probably Congress would just create 4 new seats for PR, and there would be special elections some time in 2021 for those seats, maybe at-large until redistricting can be done before the 2022 elections.)

The most recent version of a Puerto Rico Statehood Admission Act provides for one representative (presumably elected in a special election) upon its admission into the Union, then the same number of representatives as the state whose most recent population count was closest to but less than Puerto Rico's - in this case, Connecticut & its 5 representatives - at the next general election (be it a midterm or a presidential election), then whatever number of representatives out of 435 its entitled to as provided for by the next reapportionment.
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