NM - GBAO/Ben Ray Lujan (D): Biden +13%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://benraylujan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Lujan-Poll-Memo-102020.pdf

Oct 14-17, 600 LV, MoE: 4%

Biden 54%
Trump 41%

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I feel like NM is looking quite likely to trend Republican this cycle, even if it's still Safe D.

[Roronoa D. Law]

I feel like NM is looking quite likely to trend Republican this cycle, even if it's still Safe D.

Hillary only won by 8 points.

[TheTide]

I feel like NM is looking quite likely to trend Republican this cycle, even if it's still Safe D.

A five point shift is less than what the national polls are showing. Then again the state polls seem to be showing a somewhat smaller shift in general.

Hillary only won by 8 points.

[Sir Mohamed]

For some reason I think NM polls underestimate Biden or Dems in general. Trump is lucky if he breaks 40%. Due to lack for formidable 3rd party candidates, Biden easily gets into upper 50s territory. In all likelyhood, NM is still one of Jorgensen's best states, but 57-39-3 isn't too far fetched, Imho.

[Figueira]

I feel like NM is looking quite likely to trend Republican this cycle, even if it's still Safe D.

Hillary only won by 8 points.

Hillary+8 --> Biden+13 could still be a Republican trend depending on what the national popular vote looks like.