IA-American Greatness (R): Greenfield +5
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  IA-American Greatness (R): Greenfield +5
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Author Topic: IA-American Greatness (R): Greenfield +5  (Read 1245 times)
SnowLabrador
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« on: October 20, 2020, 05:11:11 PM »

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/20/trump-closes-gap-in-iowa-race-now-tied/

I honestly think it's possible that they're releasing this poll to get Democrats complacent.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 05:14:29 PM »

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/20/trump-closes-gap-in-iowa-race-now-tied/

I honestly think it's possible that they're releasing this poll to get Democrats complacent.

4D chess
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2020, 05:15:37 PM »

Oml.

Maybe the Crystal Ball was on to something. This is quite the underperformance for Ernst.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2020, 05:16:15 PM »

Yes, a Democrat voter in Iowa is going to see that the Presidential race in Iowa is tied and therefore that it is not necessary to vote.

Good job, SnowLabrador
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Oregon Blue Dog
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2020, 05:17:46 PM »

Yes, a Democrat voter in Iowa is going to see that the Presidential race in Iowa is tied and therefore that it is not necessary to vote.

Good job, SnowLabrador
I think itís more to do with donations from out of state
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WD
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2020, 05:18:30 PM »

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/20/trump-closes-gap-in-iowa-race-now-tied/

I honestly think it's possible that they're releasing this poll to get Democrats complacent.

Imagine thinking that Democrats arenít going to vote in 2020 of all years.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2020, 05:19:03 PM »

I'm feeling more and more confident tilting this D. Generally undecides break more R than not, but Greenfield is getting closer to a majority, and she consistently outperforms Biden by a few points which is a good sign. Important backup incase NC or MI fail. Let's get it to lean D by election day!
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2020, 05:19:34 PM »

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/20/trump-closes-gap-in-iowa-race-now-tied/

I honestly think it's possible that they're releasing this poll to get Democrats complacent.

Imagine thinking that Democrats arenít going to vote in 2020 of all years.

Imagine your average IA voter actually cares about polls like this.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2020, 05:39:34 PM »

Yes, a Democrat voter in Iowa is going to see that the Presidential race in Iowa is tied and therefore that it is not necessary to vote.

Good job, SnowLabrador
I think itís more to do with donations from out of state

At this point it's not as if she needs more money.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2020, 05:42:52 PM »

Lean D takeovers. AZ, CO, IA
Tossups ME, NC, SC, MT, KS, GA, LA
R seats AL, KY, MS, TX
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2020, 05:44:27 PM »

It's possible that Ernst is just a very bad candidate and a bad fit for Iowa and Greenfield is.... a good fit.
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Ljube
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« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2020, 05:48:01 PM »

It's possible that Ernst is just a very bad candidate and a bad fit for Iowa and Greenfield is.... a good fit.

This is the logical conclusion given that Ernst is 5 points behind Trump.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2020, 05:48:37 PM »

It's possible that Ernst is just a very bad candidate and a bad fit for Iowa and Greenfield is.... a good fit.

This is the logical conclusion given that Ernst is 5 points behind Trump.


This is also the first poll since SoybeanGate
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2020, 05:54:00 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2020, 05:58:36 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

Conducted by InsiderAdvantage
October 18-19
400 likely voters
MoE: 4.9%

Greenfield 48%
Ernst 43%
Stewart (L) 5%
Herzog (I) 0%
Undecided 3%
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2020, 05:58:50 PM »


?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #15 on: October 20, 2020, 06:06:40 PM »




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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2020, 06:08:18 PM »

Oh, Ernst will absolutely lose if the presidential race in the state tied (itís actually a narrow Biden lead) and the Libertarian candidate for Senate gets 5%...
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #17 on: October 20, 2020, 06:09:22 PM »

Make Ernst squeal!

It still sounds wrong, even more so when applied to a woman. Either way, she deserves to lose.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #18 on: October 20, 2020, 06:39:16 PM »

Moving this from Toss-up/Tilt D to Lean D.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #19 on: October 20, 2020, 06:55:47 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2020, 07:03:17 PM by EastOfEden »






!

Yep, that's Lean D now.


Edit: I just typed "ernst" into Google (in an incognito tab), and the top three autocomplete suggestions were "ernst soybeans," "ernst soybean question," and "ernst soybean price." So the story is definitely getting around.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #20 on: October 20, 2020, 11:15:03 PM »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Insider Advantage on 2020-10-19

Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Xing
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« Reply #21 on: October 20, 2020, 11:49:49 PM »

This is almost certainly an attempt to get Republicans to spend more money here, but obviously the race is competitive if money is needed. If Ernst really does do worse than Tillis, Iíll crown Sabato the God of Prognosticators, but I still doubt that will happen. Toss-Up, gut still says Ernst ekes this out, but Iíve gotta hand it to Greenfield; sheís proven to be a much better candidate than I imagined. Sure, sheís benefitting a lot from a great environment for her party, but sheís also consistently overperforming Biden in a state that hasnít been too kind to Democrats recently.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #22 on: October 21, 2020, 12:53:22 AM »

Based and cornpilled
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