IA-Insider Advantage (R): TIED

[Lief 🗽]

https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/20/trump-closes-gap-in-iowa-race-now-tied/

Trump 45
Biden 45

Greenfield 48
Ernst 43

Taken 10/18-19.

[wbrocks67]

NYT/Siena is going to be interesting this week. If Insider Advantage, which seems like a junky R pollster, has this tied and Greenfield at +5...

[kireev]

=Prior Iowa polling by other firms showed Trump trailing Biden by several points.=

What the hell are they talking about? I think they are trying to spin this is a good result for Trump.

[Person Man]

I can hear the flusher being pressed whether I hear a flush or a clog in two weeks remains to be seen.

[forza nocta]

NYT/Siena is going to be interesting this week. If Insider Advantage, which seems like a junky R pollster, has this tied and Greenfield at +5...

Also we're getting a Monmouth poll here tomorrow too.

President Trump and Joe Biden are literally tied in Iowa with less than two weeks to go. Prior Iowa polling by other firms showed Trump trailing Biden by several points. Clearly Trump is making up ground in the state.

Lol what a spin for a state Trump won by 10

[Hammy]

So the talking point is 2016 was off because of high undecideds and low leads yet we're going to do the same as 2016 and believe a poll with high undecideds and low leads because we like the result?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Again, I feel like something's up. An internal should be able to get better numbers than this in IA.

[n1240]

"closes the gap"

[GeorgiaModerate]

The one data point in this poll that I find significant is that Greenfield is running 5 points ahead of Biden (on margin).  It's really starting to look like Ernst is close to done.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Where is the tightning, where is the NYPOST BUMP!!!!

[psychprofessor]

Not good for Trump or Ernst. Yikes.

[Sestak]

I love how they're spinning this as a good poll for Trump.

[Buzz]

Iowa has been fairly annoying this cycle.  I’m still confident with a 4+ point win but these polls have been tight the last 2 months.  Thank god we have a Monmouth poll in the AM.

[Lief 🗽]

So the talking point is 2016 was off because of high undecideds and low leads yet we're going to do the same as 2016 and believe a poll with high undecideds and low leads because we like the result?

There's really no need to pay attention to any Iowa polls until the Selzer one the weekend before the election to be honest.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

It actually rounds to Biden +1%.

For the Centre for American Greatness
October 18-19
400 likely voters
MoE: 4.9%

Jorgensen 2%
Undecided 8%

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Iowa President by Insider Advantage on 2020-10-19

Summary: D: 45%, R: 45%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Liberalrocks]

Wonderful poll for Trump! Dominating....

[swf541]

Soybean gate actually seems to be possibly harming Ernst

[Rand]

So Trump is tied in a state he won by 10 points in 2016 and yet we’re supposed to believe he’s going to expand his margins in states he won by a fraction of a percent?

[Gass3268]

So the talking point is 2016 was off because of high undecideds and low leads yet we're going to do the same as 2016 and believe a poll with high undecideds and low leads because we like the result?

There's really no need to pay attention to any Iowa polls until the Selzer one the weekend before the election to be honest.

Halloween Selzer! BOOO Spooky!

[pbrower2a]

If Trump loses Iowa, then he is also losing Wisconsin decisively. Iowa could be reverting to its pattern in 2008 at worst for Trump or 2012, which is nominally better for Trump but even more damaging. Iowa was the tipping-point state for Obama in 2008, so it may be going back to near-even in Presidential elections or just falling short because other states (AZ, GA, TX) are rapidly going toward the Left.   

[Tender Branson]

Nice.

Looking more and more like a cleansweep for Uncle Joe.