FL-27/B&A (D): Biden +13
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  FL-27/B&A (D): Biden +13
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Author Topic: FL-27/B&A (D): Biden +13  (Read 2261 times)
Skye
yeah_93
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« on: October 20, 2020, 03:48:04 PM »

Biden 54
Trump 41

It's an internal for the Shalala campaign.

District was 58.5-38.9 Clinton in 2016.

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/375991-survey-shalala-rematch
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redjohn
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 03:49:04 PM »

Incoming blue avatars who will believe this internal CD poll despite calling every other D internal CD poll fake.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2020, 03:49:28 PM »

This is the only part of the country where Trump seems to be out performing 2016.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2020, 03:51:33 PM »

October 9-13
500 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2020, 03:58:35 PM »

If Biden can sway the undecideds here, the margin won't be that off from Hillary. Trump has only gained 2 points from his 2016 numbers.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2020, 04:00:12 PM »

Not surprised by this margin
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2020, 04:06:17 PM »

Obama only won this district by 7 in 2012, so while this isn't great for Biden it probably isn't enough for Trump to hold the state, assuming district numbers we're seeing everywhere else in Florida are accurate.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2020, 04:09:18 PM »

Obama only won this district by 7 in 2012, so while this isn't great for Biden it probably isn't enough for Trump to hold the state, assuming district numbers we're seeing everywhere else in Florida are accurate.

Yes, the swing among seniors should be more than enough to offset this.
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Buzz
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2020, 04:12:40 PM »

Incoming blue avatars who will believe this internal CD poll despite calling every other D internal CD poll fake.
they are all high key garbage
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2020, 04:17:04 PM »

Incoming blue avatars who will believe this internal CD poll despite calling every other D internal CD poll fake.
they are all high key garbage

Folks who see both sides internals say it looks like the reverse of 2016.
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2020, 04:25:45 PM »

how did this district vote in 2018?
Biden will underperform clinton in south florida but hopefully he does better than nelson and gillum
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2020, 04:29:08 PM »

Nelson won here by 12.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2020, 04:32:08 PM »

And Gillum won by 10.



Again, maybe this poll is wrong, but Trump would need to be doing much better in this district if his plan is to off-set losses with seniors with gains among Cubans.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2020, 08:32:20 PM »

And Gillum won by 10.



Again, maybe this poll is wrong, but Trump would need to be doing much better in this district if his plan is to off-set losses with seniors with gains among Cubans.

Trump won't do better than Scott in Dade lmfao.
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VAR
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« Reply #14 on: December 06, 2020, 04:28:21 PM »

Lol
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #15 on: December 22, 2020, 09:00:40 AM »

And Gillum won by 10.


Again, maybe this poll is wrong, but Trump would need to be doing much better in this district if his plan is to off-set losses with seniors with gains among Cubans.

Trump won't do better than Scott in Dade lmfao.
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