NJ - DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler: Biden +22%
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  NJ - DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler: Biden +22%
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Author Topic: NJ - DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler: Biden +22%  (Read 1164 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 20, 2020, 02:54:22 PM »
« edited: October 20, 2020, 03:00:17 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

https://www.investorideas.com/news/2020/cannabis/10202New-Jersey-Low-Level-Marijuana-Convictions.asp

October 5-13
500 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%
Changes with September 8-16

Biden 56% (+4)
Trump 34% (-4)
Another candidate or undecided 10% (n/c)

This is the last of the DKC/Brach Eichler polls for NJ (this cycle, that is).
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 03:00:37 PM »

An 8-point shift from 2016 sounds about right. I've said this before, but NJ is one of the worst states for Trump demographically - one giant suburb with a lot of diversity and college-educated voters.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2020, 03:03:02 PM »

An 8-point shift from 2016 sounds about right. I've said this before, but NJ is one of the worst states for Trump demographically - one giant suburb with a lot of diversity and college-educated voters.

But with a lot of white ethnic Italians who HATE BLM and LeBron (In Nutley/Belleville/Sayreville) to make Trump get at least 40%-42% of the vote.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2020, 03:03:58 PM »

An 8-point shift from 2016 sounds about right. I've said this before, but NJ is one of the worst states for Trump demographically - one giant suburb with a lot of diversity and college-educated voters.

But with a lot of white ethnic Italians who HATE BLM and LeBron (In Nutley/Belleville/Sayreville) to make Trump get at least 40%-42% of the vote.

Is this a parody post lol.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2020, 03:10:30 PM »

But with a lot of white ethnic Italians who HATE BLM and LeBron (In Nutley/Belleville/Sayreville) to make Trump get at least 40%-42% of the vote.

The Staten Island wannabees already voted for Trump in 2016.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2020, 03:11:22 PM »

Why so many New Jesery polls? I want more quality polls from Texas.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2020, 03:12:06 PM »

Very curious if Biden manages to crack 60% here. Right now I have him slightly under, but it does look possible.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2020, 03:12:37 PM »


Because Democratic reactionaries in the legislature wouldn't pass legal weed, so now they have to get told.
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Asta
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2020, 03:37:38 PM »

An 8-point shift from 2016 sounds about right. I've said this before, but NJ is one of the worst states for Trump demographically - one giant suburb with a lot of diversity and college-educated voters.

NJ isn't "that" terrible for Republicans, considering the demographics. Menendez only won by 11% in a blue wave year. (Granted he is not exactly the greatest candidate)

On paper, NJ should be much bluer with our population of non-whites and college-educated whites.
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Pollster
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2020, 03:51:00 PM »

An 8-point shift from 2016 sounds about right. I've said this before, but NJ is one of the worst states for Trump demographically - one giant suburb with a lot of diversity and college-educated voters.

NJ isn't "that" terrible for Republicans, considering the demographics. Menendez only won by 11% in a blue wave year. (Granted he is not exactly the greatest candidate)

On paper, NJ should be much bluer with our population of non-whites and college-educated whites.

Hugin was able to hold Menendez to an unimpressive win because he managed to hold a good chunk of the college-educated whites fleeing from the GOP (largely due to Menendez being a disastrous candidate) while simultaneously holding Trump's gains with non-college whites in south NJ. Demographics still look terrible in the state long-term for the GOP against a Dem without Menendez's baggage.
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S019
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2020, 03:52:20 PM »


Because Democratic reactionaries in the legislature wouldn't pass legal weed, so now they have to get told.

This isn't accurate and quite frankly the Democrats took the right step, this policy is unwise and those who are voting for it are erring greatly.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2020, 05:03:07 PM »

Why so many New Jesery polls? I want more quality polls from Texas.
There will be plenty of polls of Texas but Texas is a tossup state at the moment
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2020, 05:07:50 PM »

This doesn't seem surprising given the returns at this point in the ballots...
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2020, 05:48:35 PM »

This doesn't seem surprising given the returns at this point in the ballots...

Biden will win the state big, but it seems like early ballots everywhere are overwhelmingly tilted towards Democrats. The gap should narrow a little bit.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2020, 06:17:52 PM »

Very curious if Biden manages to crack 60% here. Right now I have him slightly under, but it does look possible.

Biden will probably win by a record margin in my lovely state, but I don't think he'll reach 60%.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #15 on: October 20, 2020, 06:19:31 PM »

This doesn't seem surprising given the returns at this point in the ballots...

Biden will win the state big, but it seems like early ballots everywhere are overwhelmingly tilted towards Democrats. The gap should narrow a little bit.

I think the return rate is what is interesting. Reps are seriously lagging there in even getting their ballots requested back. And in NJ, everyone got a ballot.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2020, 06:48:08 PM »

New Poll: New Jersey President by Other Source on 2020-10-13

Summary: D: 56%, R: 34%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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