TX (Cygnal): Cornyn +8 (user search)
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  TX (Cygnal): Cornyn +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX (Cygnal): Cornyn +8  (Read 927 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776
« on: October 20, 2020, 01:24:05 PM »
The (R) doesn't mean much here. It's not for a partisan sponsor and Cygnal is otherwise about as (R) as PPP is (D). It's a good firm.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776
« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 01:27:23 PM »
They have the GCB at 50R-43D so Hegar's underperformance isn't even that notable in terms of margin in this poll.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776
« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2020, 01:31:53 PM »
Quote from: Biden 2020, Hogan 2024 on October 20, 2020, 01:28:24 PM
I think this is probably a bit generous, but this race does feel like Lean R. Hegar and McGrath are only getting over the line if there's a true tsunami.

In terms of competitiveness, Hegar and McGrath are not in remotely similar races. Even if you take the Cornyn margins at face value, all Hegar needs to do to make up most of the ground required is ride Biden's coattails; McGrath needs to run ahead, and not just by depressing Biden's vote-share with pro-Trump ads.
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