GA-NYT/Siena: TIE, Warnock +9
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  GA-NYT/Siena: TIE, Warnock +9
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Author Topic: GA-NYT/Siena: TIE, Warnock +9  (Read 998 times)
VAR
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« on: October 20, 2020, 12:05:59 PM »

Ossoff (D) 43%
Perdue (R-inc) 43%

Warnock (D) 32%
Loeffler (R-inc) 23%
Collins (R) 17%
Lieberman (D) 7%
Tarver (D) 2%
Not voting 1%
Donít know/refused 18%

Runoffs:
Warnock 45%
Collins 41%

Warnock 45%
Loeffler 41%

https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/ga101320-crosstabs/96723fae2a9846ed/full.pdf
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 12:06:48 PM »

Amazing!
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2020, 12:08:08 PM »

Another poll showing Warnock doing very well in a runoff.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2020, 12:18:11 PM »

Purdue's favorables tanked in October according to Cohn.
That's probably the best news for Ossoff whose numbers remained positive.
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Pollster
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2020, 12:24:41 PM »

Loeffler bringing herself back from the dead (in both her standing in the race and her approval rating) by spending millions of her own money racing to the right really is a bad sign for the GOP in the long term.

Somewhat surprised to see Collins' name recognition so low.

Ossoff has some work to do with Black voters and is running out of time. He'll probably wind up doing a lot of relying on Warnock (whose numbers with Black voters are booming) to turn them out.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2020, 12:26:09 PM »

Obama needs to do an ad for Ossoff too, after putting out the Warnock ad today.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2020, 12:26:29 PM »

759 likely voters, Oct. 13-19, MoE: +/- 4.1%
Changes with September 16-21

Ossoff (D) 43% (+5)
Perdue (R-inc) 43% (+2)
Hazel (L) 4% (-1)
Someone else 1% (+1 from at 0% but with some voters)
Not voting for Senate 1% (+1 from at 0% but with some voters)
Don't know/refused 8% (-8)

Warnock (D) 32% (+13)
Loeffler (R-inc) 23% (n/c)
Collins (R) 17% (-2)
Lieberman (D) 7% (n/c)
Tarver (D) 2% (-2)
Not voting for Senate 1% (n/c)
Donít know/refused 18% (-9)

Runoffs:
Don't know/refused at 14% in both runoffs.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2020, 12:56:50 PM »

Will be interesting to see how these races shift between Election Day and the runoff. Will folks be more likely to vote GOP if they know TRUMP is on his way out??
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2020, 01:08:28 PM »

Undecideds need to be pushed, but GA is a Toss-Up.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2020, 01:14:20 PM »

Will be interesting to see how these races shift between Election Day and the runoff. Will folks be more likely to vote GOP if they know TRUMP is on his way out??

Trump will throw the biggest hissy fit for the entire two months between election day and inauguration, so that will definitely be driving the news cycle.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2020, 01:16:59 PM »

Will be interesting to see how these races shift between Election Day and the runoff. Will folks be more likely to vote GOP if they know TRUMP is on his way out??

As if Trump will go silently into that good night after his loss. The recriminations and baseless accusations about voter fraud, the deep state, and the back-stabbing establishment will be epic.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2020, 01:22:01 PM »

Loeffler bringing herself back from the dead (in both her standing in the race and her approval rating) by spending millions of her own money racing to the right really is a bad sign for the GOP in the long term.

Somewhat surprised to see Collins' name recognition so low.

Ossoff has some work to do with Black voters and is running out of time. He'll probably wind up doing a lot of relying on Warnock (whose numbers with Black voters are booming) to turn them out.

Ossoff is getting 78% to Bidens 81%. Not really much of a difference there and imagine most will come home. Warnock is also only getting 81% in the runoff, so theres a subset in this poll that are just still undecided but I'd imagine come home to Dems in the end
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2020, 01:24:17 PM »

Favorabilities:

Ossoff 44/39 (+5)
Perdue 44/42 (+2)

Warnock 46/22 (+24)
Collins 42/26 (+16)
Loeffler 41/37 (+5)
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Storr
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« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2020, 08:53:41 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2020, 09:01:01 PM by Storr »

They didn't poll a Perdue/Ossoff runoff despite both polling nowhere near 50%+1? Ugh...
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2020, 11:03:47 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Siena Research Institute on 2020-10-19

Summary: D: 43%, R: 43%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #15 on: October 20, 2020, 11:09:04 PM »

They didn't poll a Perdue/Ossoff runoff despite both polling nowhere near 50%+1? Ugh...
Why would they poll them twice?
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2020, 11:10:35 PM »

Will be interesting to see how these races shift between Election Day and the runoff. Will folks be more likely to vote GOP if they know TRUMP is on his way out??

Trump will throw the biggest hissy fit for the entire two months between election day and inauguration, so that will definitely be driving the news cycle.
People are not going to forget or forgive all the Trump enabling in the span of two months. I donít care what happened in 2008.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #17 on: October 20, 2020, 11:19:59 PM »

They didn't poll a Perdue/Ossoff runoff despite both polling nowhere near 50%+1? Ugh...
Why would they poll them twice?

Was going to say... it would just be the same numbers again.
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prag_prog
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« Reply #18 on: October 20, 2020, 11:46:57 PM »

I honestly don't know much about Warnock other than that he is a pastor. Is he just a generic D candidate?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #19 on: October 21, 2020, 12:48:27 AM »

They didn't poll a Perdue/Ossoff runoff despite both polling nowhere near 50%+1? Ugh...
Why would they poll them twice?

Was going to say... it would just be the same numbers again.

I'm trying to imagine what person votes for one candidate in the November election and then the other in the runoff...
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