Love how we get one "bad poll" of NC-SEN, which still has the Cunningham leading and at 49% from a pollster that has generally outputted more right leaning results this cycle, and everyone here starts freaking out. Lean D.
It's more than one poll. North Carolina is more Republican than the nation. Trump has a real chance of winning the state while losing the election. It's a very polarized state. Tillis led in very few polls in 2014. Cunningham has mistresses, which is not helping him.
In the last 40 years, I think you can count on one hand the number of incumbent senators who lost while their copartisan pres candidate carries the state, even in less polarized eras.
I think it's more likely now than a month ago that this race goes however the presidential race goes.