Data for Progress-TX: Biden +1
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Author Topic: Data for Progress-TX: Biden +1  (Read 2525 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 19, 2020, 08:24:49 PM »
Biden 47
Trump 46 (+1)
Jorgensen 2
Hawkins 1

Source

Changes are from 9/30-10/5
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Holmes
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2020, 08:25:27 PM »
Texas?
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2020, 08:25:30 PM »
*Texas fwi not national
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Horus
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2020, 08:25:43 PM »
Ummm please add that this is a poll of TX and not a national poll.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2020, 08:26:31 PM »
Imagine telling someone in 2016 that this would be the topline for an incumbent president in Texas.
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WD
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2020, 08:26:59 PM »
This is TX, not a national poll
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2020, 08:27:51 PM »
I apologize for any heart attacks I may have caused.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2020, 08:28:45 PM »
Quote from: soundchaser on October 19, 2020, 08:26:31 PM
Imagine telling someone in 2016 that this would be the topline for an incumbent president in Texas.

an incumbent *Republican president !!
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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2020, 08:29:13 PM »
My favorite thing about the crosstabs is they asked people who chose “don’t know” between Cornyn and Hegar who they’re leaning towards and 80% of respondents still said “I literally don’t know”.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2020, 08:33:12 PM »
As close to a pure coin-flip as any state is right now.
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2020, 08:33:55 PM »
Between TX/GA/FL/NC/OH/IA, a +1 for Biden means the difference between 289 and 413 EV.  Not much different from Ronald Reagan in 1980 when he won several states by 1-2 points and moved over 100 EV in his favor.
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redjohn
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2020, 08:37:34 PM »
It's remarkable that TX is a tossup with two weeks until election day, even without major investments by Biden.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2020, 08:46:04 PM »
If Biden carries TX, HEGAR will win and TX House will flip, I remember French Republican, he said D's couldn't do the unthinkable, win TX or MO Gov and Cooney and Galloway are within 4-6 pts of being the next Gov😀😀😀
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The Mikado
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2020, 09:07:13 PM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on October 19, 2020, 08:46:04 PM
If Biden carries TX, HEGAR will win and TX House will flip, I remember French Republican, he said D's couldn't do the unthinkable, win TX or MO Gov and Cooney and Galloway are within 4-6 pts of being the next Gov😀😀😀

^^^

This. I...think.

This race is too close to call and don't let anyone tell you otherwise.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2020, 09:17:16 PM »
« Edited: October 19, 2020, 09:21:37 PM by Monstro Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia »
"Texas isn't there yet and Trump is gonna win it in the end anyway. But......"


By the way, yet another nailbiter in a Texas poll that was conducted only in English.
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2020, 09:28:40 PM »
Translate to Trump+2
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2020, 09:30:43 PM »

D's won TX Congressial districts in 2018 and according to www.electionprojection.com, D's are expected to gain 2 more seats, that's why Biden and HEGAR will win
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YE
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« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2020, 09:34:52 PM »

Why? Dems have a history of doing better than polls here and no one really knows what kind of house effect D4P has given their track record is limited to Democratic Primaries (where they've done amazing) and 2019.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2020, 09:47:48 PM »

Not sure what language you're translating too.
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Rand
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« Reply #19 on: October 19, 2020, 09:48:17 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2020, 12:13:54 AM by You Reap What You Sow »

A L A M O   J O E
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2020, 09:51:45 PM »
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EJ24
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« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2020, 10:24:56 PM »
OOOOOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHH YEEEEEEEEEEEAAAAAAHHHHHH!!!!!
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lfromnj
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2020, 10:52:39 PM »
Quote from: Monstro Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia on October 19, 2020, 10:50:14 PM
I'm fully anticipating all the "See! Ya'll were idiots for thinking TX would flip" reactions if Trump wins here by like 500 votes.

Especially if they're coming from the same folks so damn sure about Trump winning TX by like 3+ points

Can you stop being so insufferable?

Im not even complaining about your prediction, I think we have the same EV map.
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VBM
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2020, 11:43:01 PM »
No
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Sbane
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« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2020, 11:55:35 PM »

Why? What is this even based on? If anything you may want to move this even more in favor of Biden since it was conducted only in English.
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