WA-PPP: Biden +23
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Author Topic: WA-PPP: Biden +23  (Read 856 times)
VAR
VARepublican
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« on: October 19, 2020, 02:30:36 PM »
« edited: October 19, 2020, 02:33:51 PM by VARepublican »
Oct 14-15, 610 LV, MoE: 4%

Changes with May 19-20 poll

Biden 60% (+1)
Trump 37% (n/c)
Not sure 2% (-3)

https://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/2020/10/three-out-of-five-washingtonians-surveyed-are-voting-for-joe-biden-npi-poll-finds.html
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redjohn
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2020, 02:33:36 PM »
Biden's probably going to get 60%+ in 12 states & DC. I think Trump gets 60%+ in 8 states max.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2020, 02:34:07 PM »
Wow. That's a bigger margin than Obama got in '08.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2020, 02:35:46 PM »
Seems reasonable. Glad someone decided to do a poll there.
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2020, 02:45:51 PM »
trump will get 60% in nebraska, wyoming, idaho, west virginia and Tennessee. Alabama will be lose but will be 58-40 or something. I also think biden barelys get over 40% in utah, the dakotas and louisiana to also avoid trump getting 60%
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2020, 02:57:22 PM »
Quote from: Beida on October 19, 2020, 02:33:36 PM
Biden's probably going to get 60%+ in 12 states & DC. I think Trump gets 60%+ in 8 states max.

WY, WV, OK, probably ID are the only states I’m reasonably confident Trump will get over 60% in.

Biden could do it in MA, HI, VT, MD, CA, NY, DE, RI, WA, CT, NJ, IL.

I could see over 70% in MA and HI. I don’t think Trump will get that in any state anymore, not even WY.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2020, 03:01:49 PM »
Yet more support for the argument that Biden has consolidated a large majority of 3rd Party 2016 PRES voters.

If this movement were universal the Washington State County Map would look much Atlas "Redder" within the Western portion of the State, as well as possibly some counties East of the Cascades and along the Columbia River Gorge.
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Kamala's side hoe
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2020, 03:11:41 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2020, 10:50:00 AM by Kamala's side hoe »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on October 19, 2020, 02:57:22 PM
Quote from: Beida on October 19, 2020, 02:33:36 PM
Biden's probably going to get 60%+ in 12 states & DC. I think Trump gets 60%+ in 8 states max.

WY, WV, OK, probably ID are the only states I’m reasonably confident Trump will get over 60% in.

Biden could do it in MA, HI, VT, MD, CA, NY, DE, RI, WA, CT, NJ, IL.

I could see over 70% in MA and HI. I don’t think Trump will get that in any state anymore, not even WY.

70% in HI would require Asian and mixed-race voters turning out for Biden by a bigger margin than what state polling has shown. Not even white voters were 70% Biden in the last poll.

* White voters were the most D ancestry group and they were still only 70-25 Biden.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2020, 10:42:55 PM »
New Poll: Washington President by Public Policy Polling on 2020-10-15

Summary: D: 60%, R: 37%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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