CO-RBI Strategies & Research: Biden +17
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  CO-RBI Strategies & Research: Biden +17
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Author Topic: CO-RBI Strategies & Research: Biden +17  (Read 2013 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« on: October 18, 2020, 08:16:00 PM »

Biden - 55%
Trump - 38%

Quote
Survey of 502 Colorado likely voters conducted October 12-16, 2020

http://www.rbistrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Statewide-Polling-Memo-October-2020.pdf
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2020, 08:22:40 PM »

Wow, but again, never really heard of RBI, so not sure how reputable they are. Even if this poll is like 8% off it's still a pretty swing towards Biden from 2016.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2020, 08:22:47 PM »

Looks like Biden is gonna hit a Grand Slam in Colorado!

Also, any prognosticator that still has Colorado as anything but Safe/Solid D is fooling themselves.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2020, 08:22:52 PM »

The educateds are angry, my friends
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2020, 08:23:06 PM »

Good for Trump.
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Horus
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2020, 08:23:50 PM »

Wow, but again, never really heard of RBI, so not sure how reputable they are. Even if this poll is like 8% off it's still a pretty swing towards Biden from 2016.

538 gives them a B/C so it's not total junk.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2020, 08:29:06 PM »

Looks like Biden is gonna hit a Grand Slam in Colorado!

Also, any prognosticator that still has Colorado as anything but Safe/Solid D is fooling themselves.

Rocky Mountain Joe.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2020, 08:30:22 PM »

I'm so old I remember when this used to be a Republican state.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2020, 08:30:45 PM »

Yeah, this state is completely Safe Biden.
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Hammy
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« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2020, 08:31:51 PM »

"Battleground state"
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redjohn
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« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2020, 08:36:10 PM »

CO, VA, and NH will likely lurch left this cycle. Great news for Biden; three less states to worry about at all. Thankfully they haven't been investing much in these states.
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Rand
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« Reply #11 on: October 18, 2020, 08:38:32 PM »

More like Biden -17 when the Hunter Biden email scandal finally reaches the Rockies, amirite?
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2020, 08:40:10 PM »

Douglas County Colorado swinging hard Joe, not to mention movements in places like El Paso County

We've seen various polls out of places in CO which make it not completely unfathomable that Biden ends up winning CO by +15% once all the votes are counted.

Looks perhaps a bit slightly favorable to the DEMs, but within an MOE that does not make it a completely inconceivable raw vote margin.

Do we really expect universal swings in every State in 2020?
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tinman64
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« Reply #13 on: October 18, 2020, 08:40:46 PM »

I'm so old I remember when this used to be a Republican state.

Dag nab it, I remember this too!
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #14 on: October 18, 2020, 08:43:04 PM »

But sure, try to tell me that CO-SEN 2022 will be competitive. It's a Safe D state!

Douglas County is Loudoun-of-the-Rockies. Colorado Springs is an intensely Republican city, but it can't resist trends forever. A whole lot of the southern part of the state will likely bounce back from its weird rightward trend in 2016. Democrats are not even close to maxed-out in Colorado.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2020, 08:44:57 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2020, 08:57:13 PM by pbrower2a »

Evidence of an utter, complete collapse of the Trump Presidency. This goes with nearly 40-60 favorability and unfavorability. Approval and disapproval numbers are probably very close to this.

Colorado was the tipping point state in 2012, and it isn't now.
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Orwell
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2020, 08:48:58 PM »

I'm so old I remember when this used to be a Republican state.

Dag nab it, I remember this too!

Calm down Gramps, don't want your dentures to break. I for one was 1 year old the last time a Republican carried this in a Presidential election and like 3 when they last elected a Republican governor.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2020, 08:57:29 PM »

I'm so old I remember when this used to be a Republican state.

Dag nab it, I remember this too!

Calm down Gramps, don't want your dentures to break. I for one was 1 year old the last time a Republican carried this in a Presidential election and like 3 when they last elected a Republican governor.

I am a Gramps and remember way back in '88 when CO was like a 60-40 PUB State....   Wink
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Thomas D
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« Reply #18 on: October 18, 2020, 09:01:42 PM »

I'm old enough to remember when Liberals wanted Colorado to split their electoral votes 
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: October 18, 2020, 09:11:34 PM »

New Poll: Colorado President by RBI Strategies on 2020-10-16

Summary: D: 55%, R: 38%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: October 18, 2020, 09:18:58 PM »

CO, VA, and NH will likely lurch left this cycle. Great news for Biden; three less states to worry about at all. Thankfully they haven't been investing much in these states.

They have been spending more than Trump in those three states, but not that much in total. Basically just to be safe and they've been pulling back ad spends in CO and VA for upcoming weeks.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2020, 09:58:15 PM »

But sure, try to tell me that CO-SEN 2022 will be competitive. It's a Safe D state!

Douglas County is Loudoun-of-the-Rockies. Colorado Springs is an intensely Republican city, but it can't resist trends forever. A whole lot of the southern part of the state will likely bounce back from its weird rightward trend in 2016. Democrats are not even close to maxed-out in Colorado.
Agree with your first two sentiments, but South CO will not be reverting back to normal.
It is pretty Working Class and rural, trends favor the GOP there.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #22 on: October 18, 2020, 10:09:59 PM »

But sure, try to tell me that CO-SEN 2022 will be competitive. It's a Safe D state!

Douglas County is Loudoun-of-the-Rockies. Colorado Springs is an intensely Republican city, but it can't resist trends forever. A whole lot of the southern part of the state will likely bounce back from its weird rightward trend in 2016. Democrats are not even close to maxed-out in Colorado.
Agree with your first two sentiments, but South CO will not be reverting back to normal.
It is pretty Working Class and rural, trends favor the GOP there.

Sorry, should have clarified. I meant that it would revert for this election specifically, like much of the Midwest is doing.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2020, 01:13:14 AM »

But sure, try to tell me that CO-SEN 2022 will be competitive. It's a Safe D state!

Douglas County is Loudoun-of-the-Rockies. Colorado Springs is an intensely Republican city, but it can't resist trends forever. A whole lot of the southern part of the state will likely bounce back from its weird rightward trend in 2016. Democrats are not even close to maxed-out in Colorado.

If Biden truly does win Colorado by the margin that this poll indicates, then I believe that he will carry CO-03 out in Western Colorado, and that he will help pull Diane Mitsch-Bush over the finish line against Lauren Boebert. This is to say nothing of Gardner's doomed bid for reelection, or for Republicans in the state legislature. Democrats are set to further solidify their dominance here.
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SevenEleven
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« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2020, 01:15:17 AM »

I'm so old I remember when this used to be a Republican state.

Not just any Republican state, but the land of Marilyn Musgrave and Tom Tancredo.
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