VA-05 - GSG (D): Trump +6
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  VA-05 - GSG (D): Trump +6		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: VA-05 - GSG (D): Trump +6  (Read 804 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 16, 2020, 08:23:52 AM »
Oct 4-8, 400 LV, MoE: 4.9%

Trump 50%
Biden 44%

House race: Webb (D) 47-45

https://314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/314-VA-05-Tracker-2-Public-Memo-F10.12.20-1.pdf

53-42 Trump in 2016.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2020, 08:25:53 AM »
Hot take: Virginia trends right this year, although obviously it swings left.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2020, 09:21:17 AM »
For 314 Action
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2020, 11:07:45 AM »
Quote from: The scissors of false economy on October 16, 2020, 08:25:53 AM
Hot take: Virginia trends right this year, although obviously it swings left.

Doubt it. Virginia was only 2 points to the left of the nation in 2016. I suspect it will be a bit more than that this year.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2020, 06:35:40 PM »
Quote from: The scissors of false economy on October 16, 2020, 08:25:53 AM
Hot take: Virginia trends right this year, although obviously it swings left.

Why do so many think VA will trend right this year?

Like I think a lot of state trends will be meaningless. Like Missouri has a 99.9999999% chance it will trend left relative to country but that is obviously meaningless.

But why are so many gun ho that VA will trend right?
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2020, 05:45:51 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on October 16, 2020, 11:07:45 AM
Quote from: The scissors of false economy on October 16, 2020, 08:25:53 AM
Hot take: Virginia trends right this year, although obviously it swings left.

Doubt it. Virginia was only 2 points to the left of the nation in 2016. I suspect it will be a bit more than that this year.

Huh, I hadn't remembered it was as close as it was in 2016. I'd remembered Hillary winning it by 7 or 8. Just goes to show what an underwhelming VP pick Tim Kaine was, I guess.
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