Was 2012 the election Dems should have lost?

[freepcrusher]

Kennedy and fat tony probably retire under a romney presidency but because Dems have the senate they either block the nominations or force him to pick a consensus nominee like peter hall from vermont. If they unseat him in 2016 they probably have 55 senate seats in  2017.

On the other hand. It's possible you have back to back senate massacres in 2018 and 2020

[freepcrusher]

so maybe 2008 was the election to lose. There are probably 62-63 senators and 270-275 dem house members come 2011. Stevens probably gives up but he is either blocked or a consensus pick is nominated.

[freepcrusher]

50/50 chance the Democrats lose the Senate. Obamacare likely gets repealed with no replacement, as repeal AND replace didn't become a thing until Obama secured a 2nd term with Obamacare on the ballot. A Tax Cut for the wealthy as large or larger than Trump's is passed before November of 2014 and Scalia and Kennedy are replaced before then as well. A neoconservative foreign policy makes a comeback with Romney to. After that, Romney rides a recovering economy to a second term in 2016 and replaces RBG this year, though Romney replaces her with someone more qualified and less controversial than ACB.

An 8 year Romney Presidency, which is a less "compassionate" version of George W. Bush with dashes of Trump's immigration and China polices, ends with millions of people not having health insurance, a 6-3 Conservative Supreme Court, a war in Iran and/or Syria, a recession and a pandemic (though one he handles better than Trump).

I have a hard time seeing them hold the senate with the six year itch. It hasn't happened since 1966.