Rate TX-03
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ^
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Tilt R
 
#5
Tilt D
 
#6
Lean D
 
#7
Likely D
 
#8
Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 27

Author Topic: Rate TX-03  (Read 509 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 17, 2020, 08:47:08 AM »


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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2020, 08:51:58 AM »

Tilt/Lean D for President, Tilt/Lean R for House
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
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Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2020, 09:01:24 AM »

Pres- Lean D
House- Lean R(closer to tilt)
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2020, 05:40:47 PM »

Bumping this for more discussion. Is Taylor a “strong incumbent”?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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E: -1.48, S: -1.83

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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2020, 06:02:56 PM »

Bumping this for more discussion. Is Taylor a “strong incumbent”?

Yeah, he's objectively fairly strong. He won by 10 in an open seat while cruz won by like 4 as an incumbent, both in 2018. My boss in the Candace Valenzuela campaign knows Mark Phariss, and said he considered running against Taylor this year, but said he can raise 2-3 million, but Taylor can way outraise him as he is real cozy with the fossil fuel industry in the state, so he decided not to run.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2020, 06:11:20 PM »

Lean R for now, but this would be Tilt D at worst for Dems if we had likely 2020s demographics right now.
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Indy Texas
independentTX
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E: 0.52, S: -3.48

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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2020, 10:32:07 PM »

Seikaly outraising Taylor seems like a troubling sign for him.

This is one of those districts that's chock full of deep-pocketed Republicans, and Taylor himself is very plugged in to the wealthy Dallas oil and banking circles (his family cofounded what is now ExxonMobil). He should have no problem outraising her.

I think the race is still his to lose but two competitive state legislative races in his district seem to be moving to the Democrats and if those voters don't split their ticket to vote for Taylor, that's going to complicate things.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2020, 11:51:11 PM »

Lean R, but an upset is possible.
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