NJ: Stockton College: Biden +20

[CookieDamage]

I think Biden will get 60% in NJ. this hasnt happend for a dem since LBJ

also this poll had menendez only leading by 2 in the 2018 senate race

Probably more like 59%. Monmouth and Ocean county will probably go to Donald Trump with about 80-90% of the vote due to strong opposition to the Coronavirus lockdown measures in both counties, as well as the major influence of the Catholic Church in those counties. The turnout is generally very high in Monmouth and Ocean counties, so that will cut into Joe Biden’s victory margin by about 1 or 2%.

He'll absolutely cut into Biden's lead in counties like Hudson, Essex, and Burlington too. New Jeseyans are one hundred percent starkly ambivalent about Biden so Trump has a shot here. White Working Class. Don't be surprised if any of these counties flip on Nov 3. That's why NJ is tossup/tilt D in my model.