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October 24, 2020, 01:38:33 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  NJ: Stockton College: Biden +20
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Author Topic: NJ: Stockton College: Biden +20  (Read 475 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 16, 2020, 12:40:11 PM »

New Poll: New Jersey President by Stockton College on 2020-10-13

Summary: D: 56%, R: 36%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2020, 12:45:04 PM »

Not bad, right?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2020, 12:46:57 PM »


Lines up with 538's current running average of 19.7. 
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2020, 01:01:16 PM »

I think Biden will get 60% in NJ. this hasnt happend for a dem since LBJ

also this poll had menendez only leading by 2 in the 2018 senate race
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2020, 01:05:29 PM »

October 7-13
721 likely voters
MoE: 3.7%
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republican1993
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2020, 01:33:04 PM »

+ 2 trump votes just got mailed out today Smiley
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darthpi
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2020, 01:40:37 PM »

Sounds about right.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2020, 05:37:20 PM »

Now that's what I like to see! This is about what I expect. It'll be a record showing for Biden and Booker. It would have felt weird if my state somehow voted to Virginia's right as some polling had shown before.
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Atlanta 1997 World Champs
bronz4141
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2020, 06:03:56 PM »

Biden could get 60 percent, but he will win Nutley/Lyndhurst
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2020, 07:31:15 PM »

+ 2 trump votes just got mailed out today Smiley

Game over democrats, go home everyone.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2020, 07:35:26 PM »

I think Biden will get 60% in NJ. this hasnt happend for a dem since LBJ

also this poll had menendez only leading by 2 in the 2018 senate race
Probably more like 59%. Monmouth and Ocean county will probably go to Donald Trump with about 80-90% of the vote due to strong opposition to the Coronavirus lockdown measures in both counties, as well as the major influence of the Catholic Church in those counties. The turnout is generally very high in Monmouth and Ocean counties, so that will cut into Joe Bidenís victory margin by about 1 or 2%.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #11 on: October 16, 2020, 08:51:44 PM »

I think Biden will get 60% in NJ. this hasnt happend for a dem since LBJ

also this poll had menendez only leading by 2 in the 2018 senate race
Probably more like 59%. Monmouth and Ocean county will probably go to Donald Trump with about 80-90% of the vote due to strong opposition to the Coronavirus lockdown measures in both counties, as well as the major influence of the Catholic Church in those counties. The turnout is generally very high in Monmouth and Ocean counties, so that will cut into Joe Bidenís victory margin by about 1 or 2%.

He'll absolutely cut into Biden's lead in counties like Hudson, Essex, and Burlington too. New Jeseyans are one hundred percent starkly ambivalent about Biden so Trump has a shot here. White Working Class. Don't be surprised if any of these counties flip on Nov 3. That's why NJ is tossup/tilt D in my model.
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