Presumably, per the ruling in Seila Law, the specific challenge coming this year will not strike down the law. I imagine the law will be gradually struck down over the course of the next five years or so, though.
It would be hilarious if Republicans gave Democrats a big brilliant talking point to hit them with again and again, and then they don't even end up having a chance at getting a gain from the lawsuit.
It is overwhelming conventional wisdom on the GOP side that campaigning on repealing Obamacare/healthcare policy generally helps them as a party, and it's kind of hard to look at the record of the 2010s elections without suspecting there is something quite substantial to that idea.
It's not the 2010's anymore, friend. Show me the last poll where Republicans were more trusted than Democrats on healthcare. Notice how support for repealing Obamacare started falling the moment Trump took office. Democrats ran on protecting Obamacare (quite a leftward shift from "we'll repeal the bad parts", as seen in previous midterms) and won the House as a result. It was the
top issue for a plurality of voters in 2018, and those voters who prioritized healthcare overwhelmingly voted Democratic.
So, I mean, if the Supreme Court wants to kick the hornet nest and keep Democrats in power in perpetuity, they're welcome to repeal Obamacare in addition to
Roe. These actions will be corrected when a nice D trifecta either reforms the judiciary or passes a new healthcare bill, which this time would align more with what Bernie and AOC are advocating for than what Obamacare does.