AK-NYT/Siena: Sullivan +8 | Young +8
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  AK-NYT/Siena: Sullivan +8 | Young +8
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Author Topic: AK-NYT/Siena: Sullivan +8 | Young +8  (Read 1100 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 16, 2020, 12:02:50 PM »



Young 49
Galvin 41
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new_patomic
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2020, 12:04:06 PM »

AIP at 10?

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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2020, 12:04:57 PM »

NYT Siena, push your darn undecideds already. You're making yourself completely useless.

This state as usual is hard to poll, and these third party numbers confuse everything. That said, Lean R.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2020, 12:08:28 PM »

Favorabilities:
Gross: 42/37 (+5)
Sullivan: 48/39 (+9)
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YE
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2020, 12:09:09 PM »

As soon as I was starting to become a believer...
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2020, 12:09:50 PM »

This one will be a reach, probably more of one than KS. Likely R.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2020, 12:11:08 PM »

Favorabilities:
Gross: 42/37 (+5)
Sullivan: 48/39 (+9)


Gross's weakness continues to be name recognition.

I'm still a believer in Gross. Discard this race at your own peril Atlas.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2020, 12:11:38 PM »

Howe's Facebook page has 7 likes lmao
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2020, 12:12:29 PM »

Gross was always overrated. Alaskans know heís a faux #populist.
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WD
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2020, 12:13:33 PM »

Gross was always overrated. Alaskans know heís a faux #populist.

Heís doesnít even have a motorcycle. What a poser.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2020, 12:13:44 PM »

Gross was always overrated. Alaskans know heís a faux #populist.

Excuse me, he's a commercial fisherman. 10/10 populism without a doubt
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new_patomic
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« Reply #11 on: October 16, 2020, 12:15:03 PM »

I know NYT/Sienna polls are good in all and should be taken seriously but it seems like everyone is in a "lets have their one poll define the state of the race" mood which is odd.
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MR. ANTHONY DEVOLDER
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« Reply #12 on: October 16, 2020, 12:15:28 PM »

Not pushing undecideds. Sad!
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Skye
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« Reply #13 on: October 16, 2020, 12:15:29 PM »

Looks like I can sleep now.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #14 on: October 16, 2020, 12:16:29 PM »
« Edited: October 16, 2020, 12:23:35 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

October 9-14
423 likely voters
MoE: 5.7%

Young 49%
Galvin 41%
Someone else 1%
Not voting in the race 1%
Don't know/refused 9%

Sullivan 45%
Gross 37%
Howe (AIP) 10%
Not voting for Senate 1%
Someone else 0% (but some voters)
Don't know/Refused 7%

Gross seemed cool but has been a little bit overrated as a candidate. He's managed to flip-flop on healthcare despite only running one campaign.
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Jayde
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« Reply #15 on: October 16, 2020, 12:17:07 PM »

Likely R race remains Likely R
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MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
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« Reply #16 on: October 16, 2020, 12:17:45 PM »

Gross was always overrated. Alaskans know heís a faux #populist.

AK is a smarter version of MT. Tongue

(Too bad they havenít made use of that wisdom in Murkowski's races yet.)
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #17 on: October 16, 2020, 12:20:03 PM »

The Gross denialism here is gross.

Sad!
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Pollster
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« Reply #18 on: October 16, 2020, 12:24:04 PM »

I know it's become a running joke on this board to criticize the NYT/Siena polls for not pushing undecideds, but the joke is really masking over the fact that it does make the poll quite useless, and in all likelihood, wrong. And because of the pulpit of the NYTimes, these bad polls are getting a lot of exposure and factoring into narratives.

Nate Cohn is a polling reporter, not a pollster, for good reason.
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Skye
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« Reply #19 on: October 16, 2020, 12:26:53 PM »

I know it's become a running joke on this board to criticize the NYT/Siena polls for not pushing undecideds, but the joke is really masking over the fact that it does make the poll quite useless, and in all likelihood, wrong. And because of the pulpit of the NYTimes, these bad polls are getting a lot of exposure and factoring into narratives.

Nate Cohn is a polling reporter, not a pollster, for good reason.

8% are undecided in this poll. I don't get why people are acting like it's 20% lol.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #20 on: October 16, 2020, 12:27:11 PM »

Anyway, we can now cross off Young as a candidate who could win without leading in poll.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #21 on: October 16, 2020, 12:27:43 PM »
« Edited: October 16, 2020, 12:31:05 PM by new_patomic »

I can't even find a FEC report for him.
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redjohn
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« Reply #22 on: October 16, 2020, 12:32:38 PM »

Likely R.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #23 on: October 16, 2020, 12:33:14 PM »

Lean R ó> Lean R
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #24 on: October 16, 2020, 12:33:28 PM »

Titanium Don !

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