NYT/Siena - AK: Trump +6

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1317148452116140032

*EDIT:  (Thank you, GM) -- Cohn points out that these topline numbers are *rounded*.  The actual margin is closer to Trump +5. 

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1317150538757251072

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

lol the undecideds

Considering (a) how rarely this state is polled, (b) how difficult it is to poll there, and (c) Alaska's unusual affinity for third-party candidates, 8% undecided isn't all that outrageous.  

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Anchorage is +9 for Biden proving the urban/suburban vs rural divide is even going to Alaska.

For reference:  

2008:  McCain won Anchorage by 16 pts.  (57-41)
2012:  Romney won Anchorage by 10 pts. (53-43)
2016:  Trump won Anchorage by 5 pts. (47-42*)

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1317150538757251072

Here's my view on this thingy (as always, there's a caveat of "if accurate" -- especially since Alaska is so rarely polled):  

It basically puts to bed any chance of Alaska flipping for the Democrats at the Prez level except on the best of best nights for Biden.  In that case, Alaska would be just one of many stunning flips.  

HST, this is a quirky state.  And a fourteen-point swing from Trump +5 to Biden +9 in Anchorage is pretty flooring.  

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Jorgensen at 8%? Somehow I doubt she'll do better than Johnson did in 2016.

Who else is on the ballot here? Hawkins, West, whoever the Constitution Party candidate is?

Trump
Biden
Jorgensen
Jesse Ventura (AK Greens went rogue and refused to back Hawkins)
Blankenship
Rocky de la Fuente
Brock Pierce

7 names, more than most states! No Kanye, though.

You forgot Grizzly C. Bear and Chester D. Salmon.