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October 24, 2020, 12:29:02 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  FL (Mason-Dixon): Biden +3
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Author Topic: FL (Mason-Dixon): Biden +3  (Read 1171 times)
Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
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« on: October 16, 2020, 05:37:43 AM »
« edited: October 16, 2020, 07:36:32 AM by High-quality pollster Quinnipiac »

Oct 8-12, 625 LV, MoE: 4%

Biden 48%
Trump 45%
Other 1%
Undecided 6%

https://www.scribd.com/document/480302681/Mason-Dixon-Poll-of-Florida-October-16#from_embed
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2020, 05:44:04 AM »
« Edited: October 16, 2020, 07:40:40 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

Changes with July 20-23 poll

Biden 48% (-2)
Trump 45% (-1)
One of the other party or independent tickets 1% (not previously included)
Undecided 6% (+2)
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2020, 05:46:32 AM »

Changes with July 20-23 poll

Biden 48% (-2)
Trump 45% (-1)
Undecided 6% (+2)

Undecided has the big Mo!
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2020, 06:15:10 AM »

Changes with July 20-23 poll

Biden 48% (-2)
Trump 45% (-1)
Undecided 6% (+2)

Undecided has the big Mo!

"We are now getting ready to make a big call in the crucial swing state of Florida -- Undecided will take Florida's 29 electoral votes."   
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You Reap What You Sow
Rafe
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2020, 06:40:22 AM »

Changes with July 20-23 poll

Biden 48% (-2)
Trump 45% (-1)
Undecided 6% (+2)

Undecided has the big Mo!

"We are now getting ready to make a big call in the crucial swing state of Florida -- Undecided will take Florida's 29 electoral votes."   

28, actually. One faithless elector will choose Other.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2020, 06:49:50 AM »

Not bad considering it's Mason-Dixon.
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Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2020, 07:12:46 AM »

Hispanics (n=107): Biden 57-37 (+20)
65+ (n=170): Trump 50-41 (+9)

Favorabilities:
Biden: 46/40 (+6)
Trump: 43/50 (-7)
Pence: 45/39 (+6)
Harris: 40/41 (-1)
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2020, 07:38:02 AM »

A mason dixon poll has Trump losing even in FL
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2020, 10:09:53 AM »

This is the gold standard for Florida, right?
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Holmes
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2020, 10:10:42 AM »

This is the gold standard for Florida, right?

No.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2020, 10:24:28 AM »

Not above 50

Gotta push through
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2020, 10:09:04 AM »


Oh. I do remember reading this once upon a time on here, probably 2008. Maybe my ageing mind is playing tricks on me.
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Yoda
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2020, 11:45:06 PM »

Small but consistent Biden leads in almost every Florida poll for weeks now. If the Biden campaign turns out their voters, they'll win Florida, period.
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President Pericles
Pericles
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« Reply #13 on: October 18, 2020, 02:07:30 AM »

Changes with July 20-23 poll

Biden 48% (-2)
Trump 45% (-1)
Undecided 6% (+2)

Undecided has the big Mo!

"We are now getting ready to make a big call in the crucial swing state of Florida -- Undecided will take Florida's 29 electoral votes."   

28, actually. One faithless elector will choose Other.

Pat Buchanan is the Other, surely?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: October 18, 2020, 02:43:04 AM »

I remember in October of 2012 Mason Dixon said they wouldn't poll Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia anymore because Romney was so far ahead and it wasn't worth their resources. We all know how that went... They really haven't had the same level of prestige since.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2020, 03:00:42 AM »

Alot of Covid cases are in the sunbelt due to high senior and disabled population and retirees
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Brittain33
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2020, 09:25:47 AM »


Oh. I do remember reading this once upon a time on here, probably 2008. Maybe my ageing mind is playing tricks on me.

You're right, there was a Libertarian here named The Vorlon who I think worked in polling who used to say Mason-Dixon was the only pollster to listen to in Florida, and then another poster named Sam Spade who used to repeat it. I joined in 2007.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2020, 09:39:42 AM »

I remember in October of 2012 Mason Dixon said they wouldn't poll Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia anymore because Romney was so far ahead and it wasn't worth their resources. We all know how that went... They really haven't had the same level of prestige since.

That was Suffolk. Mason-Dixon actually polled Florida a couple of days before the election and was Romney +6.
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