Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising MI/OH/PA/WI: Biden +9 | Trump +3 | Biden +7 | Biden +8
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 05:44:48 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising MI/OH/PA/WI: Biden +9 | Trump +3 | Biden +7 | Biden +8
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising MI/OH/PA/WI: Biden +9 | Trump +3 | Biden +7 | Biden +8  (Read 1735 times)
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 15, 2020, 12:11:10 PM »

Michigan:

Biden- 52% (-1)
Trump- 43% (+1)

Ohio:

Biden- 47% (+2)
Trump- 50% (+2)

Pennsylvania:

Biden- 52% (-)
Trump- 45% (-)

Wisconsin:

Biden- 53% (+2)
Trump- 45% (+1)

Source

Source is currently a tweet, will edit with something more official when I have it.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2020, 12:16:46 PM »

All reasonable.
Logged
hyouzel the predictor
hyouzel
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 497
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2020, 12:18:18 PM »

The reality of the 335 map becomes ever clearer. (2016+MI+WI+PA+FL+AZ+NC)

Ohio will be within 1 point either way, and simply based on demographics I think it will go to Trump.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,797
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2020, 12:27:38 PM »

The reality of the 335 map becomes ever clearer. (2016+MI+WI+PA+FL+AZ+NC)

Ohio will be within 1 point either way, and simply based on demographics I think it will go to Trump.
[/quote


All Biden needs is 278
Logged
kireev
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 294


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2020, 12:29:48 PM »

The reality of the 335 map becomes ever clearer. (2016+MI+WI+PA+FL+AZ+NC)

Ohio will be within 1 point either way, and simply based on demographics I think it will go to Trump.

In that case Biden will also certainly win NE-02.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,771


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2020, 02:48:34 PM »

October 8-11
Changes with September 11-15 polls

MI
https://drive.google.com/file/d/191PrxEKwpYvRBlp0qfofqUwB9tlQvxgE/view
543 likely voters
MoE: 4.6%

Biden 52% (-1)
Trump 43% (+1)
Someone else 4% (+1)
Unsure 2% (-1)

OH
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1SiBrhpzSQ8OoNVPbI-YdVZalG4MaPVDO/view
586 likely voters
MoE: 4.2%

Trump 50% (+2)
Biden 47% (+2)
Someone else 3% (-2)
Unsure 1% (n/c)

PA
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1kioj7cMIsxOhN81x_i1ZPNrgbClGmy95/view
600 likely voters
MoE: 4.2%

Biden 52% (n/c)
Trump 45% (n/c)
Someone else 2% (+1)
Unsure 1% (-1)

WI
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1dfFWrhyponUB4qf3gWklaNNlWy1OhWJR/view
560 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%

Biden 53% (+2)
Trump 45% (+1)
Someone else 2% (n/c)
Unsure 1% (-1)
Logged
mijan
Rookie
**
Posts: 167
Bangladesh


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2020, 03:17:48 PM »

Great number for Joe. I am still optimistic about OH.  Biden can still win it.
Logged
World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,249


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2020, 03:37:17 PM »

Toplines seem about right. Biden holding steady at 52-53 in the MI-PA-WI trio is great to see.
Logged
hyouzel the predictor
hyouzel
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 497
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2020, 04:22:14 PM »

The reality of the 335 map becomes ever clearer. (2016+MI+WI+PA+FL+AZ+NC)

Ohio will be within 1 point either way, and simply based on demographics I think it will go to Trump.

In that case Biden will also certainly win NE-02.

Yeah that's included in that total, I just didn't list it
Logged
Catalyst138
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2020, 04:31:18 PM »

With all this talk about NC and FL and OH it’s easy to forget that Biden doesn’t need any of that to win. If he holds on to the Rust belt trio, he’s the victor. And currently there’s no reason to believe he will lose any of those 3.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,553
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2020, 06:03:08 PM »

I'm losing hope that Biden could win Ohio. I am still somewhat okay with it though because if he wins without the state it will finally no longer be considered a bellwether. I welcome that. But I also welcome Biden winning by as much as possible.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,066


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2020, 06:06:53 PM »

The reality of the 335 map becomes ever clearer. (2016+MI+WI+PA+FL+AZ+NC)

Ohio will be within 1 point either way, and simply based on demographics I think it will go to Trump.

I think it's the 350 map, maybe the 388 map if TX polls underrate Biden. I'm open to the possibility that it's the 368, 369, or 375 map, but most likely Trump overperforms the polls slightly in those states.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,842
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2020, 07:45:36 PM »

Campaign meltdown.
Logged
Rand
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,093
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2020, 10:06:02 PM »

Pretty cool knowing Joe can win with just MI, PA, and WI. No wonder the MAGA crowd is sweating.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 16, 2020, 12:09:23 PM »

New Poll: Michigan President by Civiqs on 2020-10-11

Summary: D: 52%, R: 43%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 16, 2020, 12:09:28 PM »

New Poll: Ohio President by Civiqs on 2020-10-11

Summary: D: 47%, R: 50%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 16, 2020, 12:09:34 PM »

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Civiqs on 2020-10-11

Summary: D: 52%, R: 45%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 16, 2020, 12:09:40 PM »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Civiqs on 2020-10-11

Summary: D: 53%, R: 45%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.047 seconds with 13 queries.