Monmouth-AZ: Biden +6 (RV) | Biden +7 (HLV) | Biden +2 (LLV) (user search)
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  Monmouth-AZ: Biden +6 (RV) | Biden +7 (HLV) | Biden +2 (LLV) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Monmouth-AZ: Biden +6 (RV) | Biden +7 (HLV) | Biden +2 (LLV)  (Read 2383 times)
xavier110
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,540
United States
« on: October 15, 2020, 11:07:51 AM »

Biden is at exactly 50 in nearly all Arizona polls

Does this alter your gut feeling that Arizona may be friendlier to Trump than expected, Buzz?
it does not.  I had a feeling that Monmouth wasn’t going to be friendly for Trump today, hence why I made the update last night (didn’t want people to think I was hack trolling).  I think Arizona will be the closest state on 11/3 and Trump will win by 0.2%.

I can say with almost complete confidence that AZ will not be the closest state after all the votes are counted.

Demographically, it is terrible for Trump. A core segment of the historically GOP base here is openly hostile toward him (the Flake/McCain wealthy & educated suburbanites), and then you have a rapidly growing group of Hispanic/young voters.

If McSally couldn't win in 2018, I don't know how Trump suddenly does here.
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