Monmouth-AZ: Biden +6 (RV) | Biden +7 (HLV) | Biden +2 (LLV)

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Feminist icon ACB hearings bump.

Biden is at exactly 50 in nearly all Arizona polls

Does this alter your gut feeling that Arizona may be friendlier to Trump than expected, Buzz?

it does not.  I had a feeling that Monmouth wasn’t going to be friendly for Trump today, hence why I made the update last night (didn’t want people to think I was hack trolling).  I think Arizona will be the closest state on 11/3 and Trump will win by 0.2%.

Legions of Sinema voters for Trump, right? It’s highly unlikely that Trump wins Arizona, especially given Republicans don’t underpoll there.

McSally was not and is still not a good candidate. 

And Trump is? Trump is a terrible fit for Arizona.

He only won by 3.5% in 2016 and by a plurality, much lower than Romney's 9% in 2012 and McCain's 8.5% in 2008.