IA (Data for Progress): Trump +1 (user search)
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  IA (Data for Progress): Trump +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA (Data for Progress): Trump +1  (Read 2006 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« on: October 15, 2020, 12:31:30 PM »

Likely R at this point and probably should be safe.  Trump will win by 5.  I still remember the 2018 Iowa polls trying to act like they was a toss up or lean Dem 😂

Winning by 2.8 points in a state as elastic as Iowa actually shows that the race was a tossup

If it’s so incredibly elastic, why didn’t they lose the race?

Because they ran a strong candidate

Meme response
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2020, 12:46:08 PM »

Likely R at this point and probably should be safe.  Trump will win by 5.  I still remember the 2018 Iowa polls trying to act like they was a toss up or lean Dem 😂

Winning by 2.8 points in a state as elastic as Iowa actually shows that the race was a tossup

If it’s so incredibly elastic, why didn’t they lose the race?

Because they ran a strong candidate

Meme response

If that race was an open seat, Hubbell might have pulled it out but the fact is Republican incumbent governors in 2018 didn't do that bad(just look at Texas and Arizona and Walker almost winning a 3rd term in a Dem Wave Year)

OH was a open seat, just as Republican as IA in 2016, and Democrats still lost.
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