Civiqs/Daily Kos: Hickenlooper +11 (CO), Cunningham +6 (NC), Warner +11 (VA)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 27, 2023, 02:57:12 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  Civiqs/Daily Kos: Hickenlooper +11 (CO), Cunningham +6 (NC), Warner +11 (VA)
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Civiqs/Daily Kos: Hickenlooper +11 (CO), Cunningham +6 (NC), Warner +11 (VA)  (Read 1044 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 761
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 15, 2020, 07:42:57 AM »

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/10/15/1986566/-New-Daily-Kos-Civiqs-polls-Democrats-poised-to-flip-U-S-Senate-seats-in-Colorado-North-Carolina
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,201


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2020, 07:45:24 AM »

October 11-14

CO
https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_CO_banner_book_2020_10_mk0d15.pdf

1013 likely voters
MoE: 3.6%

Hickenlooper 53%
Gardner 42%
Doane (L) 2%
Doyle (Approval Voting) 0%
Evans (Unity) 0%
Someone else 0%
Unsure 1%

NC
https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_NC_banner_book_2020_10_g32na7.pdf

1211 likely voters
MoE: 3.3%

Cunningham 51%
Tillis 45%
Bray (L) 2%
Hayes (C) 1%
Someone else 0%
Unsure 2%

VA
https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_VA_banner_book_2020_10_48z9k2.pdf

1231 likely voters
MoE: 3.1%

Warner 54%
Gade 43%
Someone else 0%
Unsure 2%
Logged
tjstarling
Rookie
**
Posts: 196


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2020, 07:47:16 AM »

That Warner number is a bit underwhelming
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,087
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2020, 07:50:19 AM »

Hick is going as well as Warner...
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,415


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2020, 08:21:29 AM »

Cunningham +6 still...
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,172


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2020, 09:11:39 AM »

I swear if Warner costs is the senate...
Logged
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,620
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2020, 09:14:41 AM »

Warner won't lose, you don't need to swear on anyone
Logged
MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,512
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2020, 09:33:35 AM »

Well, the NRSC still seems to be going all in on the CO race (judging from their Twitter account, theyíre quite obsessed with this state). I still canít fathom how one of the most important organizations in this country can be this incompetent, but I canít fathom many things these days.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,415


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2020, 09:33:53 AM »


what in the world
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,172


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2020, 09:42:23 AM »

Warner won't lose, you don't need to swear on anyone

Donít worry Iím generally not a potty mouth.

Thereís some people who are going to go off on a tangent now about how this race is highly competitive because Warner only leads by 11%
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,929
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2020, 10:23:50 AM »

Well, the NRSC still seems to be going all in on the CO race (judging from their Twitter account, theyíre quite obsessed with this state). I still canít fathom how one of the most important organizations in this country can be this incompetent, but I canít fathom many things these days.

They can't just abandon an incumbent who even in the face of defeat continues to support loyally the party line.
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2020, 10:35:10 AM »

Well, the NRSC still seems to be going all in on the CO race (judging from their Twitter account, theyíre quite obsessed with this state). I still canít fathom how one of the most important organizations in this country can be this incompetent, but I canít fathom many things these days.

Logged
MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,512
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2020, 10:40:23 AM »

Well, the NRSC still seems to be going all in on the CO race (judging from their Twitter account, theyíre quite obsessed with this state). I still canít fathom how one of the most important organizations in this country can be this incompetent, but I canít fathom many things these days.

They can't just abandon an incumbent who even in the face of defeat continues to support loyally the party line.

Yeah, itís just insane from a strategic perspective if your self-declared utmost priority is holding and/or expanding the Republican Senate majority. They could still salvage MT/IA/KS/SC/TX/AL and maybe one or two of ME/MI/NC, but theyíre just wasting valuable resources in CO and AZ at this point. Unless their private polling is radically different from the public polls showing Gardner getting crushed even after the barrage of attacks on Hickenlooper and Gardner's "excellent campaign", itís just completely unjustifiable malpractice.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,929
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2020, 11:06:18 AM »

Well, the NRSC still seems to be going all in on the CO race (judging from their Twitter account, theyíre quite obsessed with this state). I still canít fathom how one of the most important organizations in this country can be this incompetent, but I canít fathom many things these days.

They can't just abandon an incumbent who even in the face of defeat continues to support loyally the party line.

Yeah, itís just insane from a strategic perspective if your self-declared utmost priority is holding and/or expanding the Republican Senate majority. They could still salvage MT/IA/KS/SC/TX/AL and maybe one or two of ME/MI/NC, but theyíre just wasting valuable resources in CO and AZ at this point. Unless their private polling is radically different from the public polls showing Gardner getting crushed even after the barrage of attacks on Hickenlooper and Gardner's "excellent campaign", itís just completely unjustifiable malpractice.

Sure, it doesn't make sense strategically but abandoning Gardner would send a bad signal to the caucus, especially to the senators from swing states, that they are expendable.
Logged
SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,495


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 15, 2020, 11:12:29 AM »

Gardner was the prior NRSC chair when they gained seats. That's the ONLY reason.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 15, 2020, 11:29:38 AM »

The NRSC when Gardner loses badly:

Logged
MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,512
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 15, 2020, 01:50:15 PM »

Gardner was the prior NRSC chair when they gained seats. That's the ONLY reason.

And a lousy one at that (half-hearted/no involvement in MT/WV/OH where Republicans were badly outspent/defined early, prioritizing AZ and especially NV over more winnable races, not pushing for Jenkins in WV, etc.). The headline shouldnít have said "Republicans score big wins in Senate", it should have been "Republicans fail to lock Democrats out of Senate majority until 2022."

Their only impressive win was FL, and that had nothing to do with Gardner and everything with Scott's $$$/strengths as a candidate.
Logged
forsythvoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 736


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 15, 2020, 03:15:07 PM »

My reactions:

CO: Why is the NRSC still spending money here? They need to play defense in seats like IA, NC, ME, GA, MT, KS, AK. I would concede CO, AZ (although maybe not if they still think the Pres race is in play there), and focus on the others

NC: Seems like Cunningham will run 2-3 points above Biden's performance. NC seems like the type of state where there's a contingent of anti-establishment voters who aren't going to care about personal scandals (if anything, it might make them more likely to vote for Cunningham / Trump just to stick a finger to the establishment).

VA: Warner will win by 10-15 points (onpar with Biden's performance in the state). The state's polarization means that the final vote is likely to be pretty close to the Pres results. Gade would have better luck running in a Biden midterm.

Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,060
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 15, 2020, 06:54:51 PM »

51% for Cunningham? Sexy!
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,955
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 15, 2020, 06:58:15 PM »

Gardner was the prior NRSC chair when they gained seats. That's the ONLY reason.

And a lousy one at that (half-hearted/no involvement in MT/WV/OH where Republicans were badly outspent/defined early, prioritizing AZ and especially NV over more winnable races, not pushing for Jenkins in WV, etc.). The headline shouldnít have said "Republicans score big wins in Senate", it should have been "Republicans fail to lock Democrats out of Senate majority until 2022."

Their only impressive win was FL, and that had nothing to do with Gardner and everything with Scott's $$$/strengths as a candidate.

And Nelson's incompetence
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,003


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 20, 2020, 11:52:24 PM »

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Civiqs on 2020-10-14

Summary: D: 53%, R: 42%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,003


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 20, 2020, 11:53:37 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Civiqs on 2020-10-14

Summary: D: 51%, R: 45%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,003


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 20, 2020, 11:54:43 PM »

New Poll: Virginia Senator by Civiqs on 2020-10-14

Summary: D: 54%, R: 43%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.058 seconds with 13 queries.