AZ-OHPI: Kelly +5

[VAR]

Oct 4-8, 608 LV, MoE: 4%

Kelly 50% (-2)
McSally 45% (+3)
Unsure/undecided 5% (-1)

Source

PRES: Biden 50-47 (+3) or 49-45-4 (+4)
GCB: 45-45 (=)

Favorabilities:
McSally: 42/50 (-8)
Sinema: 49/31 (+17)
Kelly: 49/42 (+7)

[ProgressiveModerate]

Is it just be or have Kelly's leads been less impressive in recent weeks?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Refused 0% (but some voters) (-1)

Changes with September 8-10

[Astatine]

Is it just be or have Kelly's leads been less impressive in recent weeks?

OHPI has been showing fluctuating leads for Kelly so far, in August they had him up by 5 (at some point before by 13 as far as I can recall?). It seems like a lead in the upper single digits is still the consensus.

[wbrocks67]

Is it just be or have Kelly's leads been less impressive in recent weeks?

I think it's just you. Also depends on the quality of the polling outfit

Latest polls:
OHPI: Kelly +5
Ipsos: Kelly +11
Morning Consult: Kelly +8
Ipsos: Kelly +10
Data Orbital: Kelly +6
Change: Kelly +8
Siena: Kelly +13
Suffolk: Kelly +9

[ProgressiveModerate]

Is it just be or have Kelly's leads been less impressive in recent weeks?

I think it's just you. Also depends on the quality of the polling outfit

Latest polls:
OHPI: Kelly +5
Ipsos: Kelly +11
Morning Consult: Kelly +8
Ipsos: Kelly +10
Data Orbital: Kelly +6
Change: Kelly +8
Siena: Kelly +13
Suffolk: Kelly +9

True. I think it's a combination of the fact we haven't gotten many high quality polls as of late, and the low quality polls we have gotten tend to show narrower leads for Kelly, but part of that might be the fact that these pollsters are unreliable and tend to skew right.

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Arizona Senator (Special) by OH Predictive Insights on 2020-10-08

Summary: D: 50%, R: 45%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details