SurveyMonkey mass poll dump
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Author Topic: SurveyMonkey mass poll dump  (Read 971 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 13, 2020, 10:26:59 PM »
https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference

They've released 3-day national averages going back to the start and the usual ~30-day state-level data (for all 50 states + DC) starting at September 15 and going through to October 12.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 10:31:11 PM »
Straight into the trash, please.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2020, 10:31:53 PM »

What do you mean, "TX can't be R+3 if NE is only R+6"? Reject modern trends. Return to (Survey)Monke!
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kireev
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2020, 10:33:37 PM »

Probably. But most numbers actually look surprisingly reasonable...
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The Mikado
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2020, 10:37:02 PM »
I love how 538 reserves the D- ranking for SurveyMonkey and SurveyMonkey alone.

...

I almost posted that, but then I checked, and apparently "Swayable" has been added to 538's coveted D- rankings since. Sorry SurveyMonkey, you're no longer special.

(538 basically only uses F rankings for pollsters which are either unscientific or outright fraudulent, so Survey Monkey is "marginally superior to con artists making up numbers")
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2020, 10:39:59 PM »
The only positive data you get from SurveyMonkey is it helps give you something in states that never get polled.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2020, 10:46:23 PM »
Trump getting 37% of Hispanic voters?

Trash, even by the standards of 2020.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2020, 10:49:40 PM »
This pollster gives results that more favor Trump than others.. .but considering that Biden is at or above 50% in states with 304 electoral votes, is ahead in ME-02 and NE-02 , and is tied 49-49 in Florida, Georgia, and Iowa (51 EV), I see 314-51-182.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2020, 10:53:05 PM »
Thank you SurveyMonkey, very cool!
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2020, 10:56:57 PM »
Why does 538 even use these?
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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2020, 11:45:25 PM »
I wouldn't put too much stock in this but atleast the results look "realistic".
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2020, 12:34:19 AM »
I could enter those 51 polls when their October (1-31) polling is completed, but we’ll see ...
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #12 on: October 14, 2020, 01:40:59 AM »
Flush them down the toilet.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #13 on: October 14, 2020, 02:27:31 AM »
« Edited: October 14, 2020, 08:21:32 AM by Arch »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 14, 2020, 12:34:19 AM
I could enter those 51 polls when their October (1-31) polling is completed, but we’ll see ...

Wait until 538 reweighs them or just don't put them in at all. This pollster is pretty bad.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2020, 02:35:29 AM »
having outliers in a polling average is a good thing.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2020, 03:11:26 AM »
Biden is doomed because he's trailing with NM 25-34 year olds.

/troll
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Brittain33
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« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2020, 05:49:05 AM »
SurveyMonkey flings poo at 538
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tenyasha
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« Reply #17 on: October 14, 2020, 08:59:10 PM »
Survey Monkey? any surveys for other animals?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #18 on: October 14, 2020, 09:01:47 PM »
I spent way too long imputing all these into my model.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #19 on: October 14, 2020, 09:07:00 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 14, 2020, 09:01:47 PM
I spent way too long imputing all these into my model.

They update daily. I'd wait until the ones running through October are in
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #20 on: October 14, 2020, 09:08:48 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on October 14, 2020, 09:07:00 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 14, 2020, 09:01:47 PM
I spent way too long imputing all these into my model.

They update daily. I'd wait until the ones running through October are in

Yeah that’s what I’m thinking too at this point. When Morning Consult has that WI tracker daily I didn’t bother updating everyday. Just annoys me because it’s a whole lot of work for polls that in the end weigh so little.
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Rand
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« Reply #21 on: October 14, 2020, 09:21:00 PM »
Mass dump.
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Jay 🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #22 on: October 14, 2020, 09:22:49 PM »
SurveyMonkey is bad but just throw it into the average and forget about it instead of obsessing over it
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